National League | Gameweek 40

Mar 25, 2023 at 3pm UK

Grosvenor Vale

Wealdstone
0 - 2
Barnet

Habergham (24'), Simper (42'), Ferguson (50')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Kabamba (46'), Pritchard (74')
Revan (16'), Cropper (33')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Wealdstone and Barnet, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wealdstone

All competitions

Last Game: Scunthorpe 4-1 Wealdstone
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Barnet

All competitions

Last Game: Barnet 1-1 Notts County
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Wealdstone 1-2 Barnet

Wealdstone appear to have hit a road block in their season having been humiliated in each of their last two matches, and we can envisage Barnet taking advantage to claim a hugely important victory against their rivals. A win for the visitors would all but secure a playoff spot for them given the gap that it would create between them and their opponents in the table. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 42.23%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 34.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.24%) and 0-2 (6.01%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 2-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnet would win this match.

Result
Wealdstone	Draw	Barnet
34.16% ( -0)	23.61%	42.23% ( 0)

Both teams to score 62.4% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.56% (

39.43% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.22% (

61.77% (

-0)

Wealdstone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.05% (

22.94% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.28% (

56.71% (

-0)

Barnet Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.97% (

19.02% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.4% (

50.59% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Wealdstone 34.16%

Barnet 42.23%

Draw 23.6%

Wealdstone	Draw	Barnet
2-1 @ 7.85% 1-0 @ 6.43% 2-0 @ 4.73% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.85% 3-2 @ 3.2% 3-0 @ 2.32% 4-1 @ 1.42% 4-2 @ 1.18% Other @ 3.2% Total : 34.16%	1-1 @ 10.66% 2-2 @ 6.51% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.36% 3-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.6%	1-2 @ 8.85% 0-1 @ 7.24% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.01% 1-3 @ 4.89% 2-3 @ 3.6% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.32% 1-4 @ 2.03% 2-4 @ 1.5% 0-4 @ 1.38% Other @ 3.41% Total : 42.23%