Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wealdstone win with a probability of 46.33%. A win for Maidstone United had a probability of 29.82% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wealdstone win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Maidstone United win was 1-2 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Wealdstone in this match.
Result | ||
Wealdstone | Draw | Maidstone United |
46.33% ( 4.26) | 23.84% ( -0.73) | 29.82% ( -3.53) |
Both teams to score 59.54% ( 0.92) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.66% ( 1.92) | 42.34% ( -1.92) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.25% ( 1.89) | 64.74% ( -1.89) |
Wealdstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.51% ( 2.63) | 18.49% ( -2.63) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.31% ( 4.26) | 49.69% ( -4.26) |
Maidstone United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.04% ( -1.27) | 26.96% ( 1.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.7% ( -1.7) | 62.3% ( 1.7) |
Score Analysis |
Wealdstone | Draw | Maidstone United |
2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.39) 1-0 @ 8.41% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.54) 3-1 @ 5.24% ( 0.62) 3-0 @ 4% ( 0.6) 3-2 @ 3.43% ( 0.29) 4-1 @ 2.21% ( 0.41) 4-0 @ 1.69% ( 0.37) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.23) Other @ 3.5% Total : 46.33% | 1-1 @ 11.02% ( -0.44) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.98% ( -0.44) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.83% | 1-2 @ 7.23% ( -0.56) 0-1 @ 6.53% ( -0.84) 0-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.73) 1-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.37) 2-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.4) 1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.17) Other @ 3.05% Total : 29.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 48 |
2 | Barnet | 23 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 48 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 22 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 46 |
4 | Gateshead | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 45 | 28 | 17 | 44 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 43 |
6 | Rochdale | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 36 |
7 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 42 | 36 | 6 | 35 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 35 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 34 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 34 |
11 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 33 |
12 | Eastleigh | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 32 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 32 |
14 | Tamworth | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 29 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 28 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 27 |
17 | Woking | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
18 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 23 |
19 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 23 |
20 | Fylde | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 28 | 47 | -19 | 22 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 27 | 45 | -18 | 20 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 23 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 17 | 54 | -37 | 9 |
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