Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 50.96%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Wealdstone had a probability of 24.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.57%) and 0-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Wealdstone win it was 1-0 (7.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
Result | ||
Wealdstone | Draw | Chesterfield |
24.42% ( -0.23) | 24.63% ( 0.02) | 50.96% ( 0.21) |
Both teams to score 52.4% ( -0.29) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.33% ( -0.27) | 49.67% ( 0.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.31% ( -0.24) | 71.69% ( 0.25) |
Wealdstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.08% ( -0.35) | 34.92% ( 0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.34% ( -0.36) | 71.65% ( 0.36) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.5% ( -0.02) | 19.49% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.63% ( -0.04) | 51.37% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Wealdstone | Draw | Chesterfield |
1-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.16% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.16% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.08% Total : 24.42% | 1-1 @ 11.71% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.81% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.63% | 0-1 @ 11.12% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 9.57% ( 0) 0-2 @ 9.1% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 5.22% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.96% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 2.13% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.03% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.95% Total : 50.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 40 |
2 | York City | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 38 |
3 | Barnet | 18 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 37 |
4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Gateshead | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 28 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 24 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 22 |
14 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 22 |
15 | Tamworth | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 21 |
17 | Woking | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 20 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 19 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 19 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 18 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 11 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
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