Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 58.49%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Yeovil Town had a probability of 18.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Yeovil Town win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnet would win this match.
Result | ||
Barnet | Draw | Yeovil Town |
58.49% ( 0.04) | 22.52% ( -0.02) | 18.99% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 51.56% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.9% ( 0.02) | 47.1% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.66% ( 0.02) | 69.34% ( -0.02) |
Barnet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.21% ( 0.02) | 15.78% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.07% ( 0.04) | 44.92% ( -0.04) |
Yeovil Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.22% ( -0.02) | 38.78% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.48% ( -0.02) | 75.51% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Barnet | Draw | Yeovil Town |
1-0 @ 11.3% 2-0 @ 10.43% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.08% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.96% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.88% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.81% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.09% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 2.27% Total : 58.49% | 1-1 @ 10.7% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.12% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.52% | 0-1 @ 5.8% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.6% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0) Other @ 2.3% Total : 18.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
2 | York City | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 25 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 24 |
4 | Rochdale | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 23 |
5 | Gateshead | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 23 |
6 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 23 |
7 | Eastleigh | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 21 |
8 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 18 |
10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 17 |
11 | Halifax TownHalifax | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 17 |
12 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
13 | Woking | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 15 |
14 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
15 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 14 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 14 |
17 | Tamworth | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
18 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 13 |
19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 11 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 10 |
21 | Boston UnitedBoston | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 9 |
22 | Fylde | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 9 |
23 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 8 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 25 | -16 | 5 |
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