MX23RW : Friday, January 31 07:10:27| >> :600:4291918:4291918:
Belgium national football team
Nations League | League A
Sep 6, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Nagyerdei Stadion
Israel national football team

Belgium
3 - 1
Israel

De Bruyne (21', 52' pen.), Tielemans (48')
De Bruyne (77')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Castagne (36' og.)
Abu Fani (33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Nations League clash between Belgium and Israel, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: France 1-0 Belgium
Monday, July 1 at 5pm in European Championship
All competitions
Last Game: Belarus 0-4 Israel
Tuesday, June 11 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Current Group I Standings P GD PTS
1Romania101122
2Switzerland101117
3Israel10015
4Belarus10-512
5Kosovo10011
6Andorra10-172

We said: Belgium 2-0 Israel

Without home support, Belgium should go through the motions and secure maximum points, despite lacking their all-time top scorer and world-class goalkeeper: outside of major tournaments, the Red Devils tend to be ruthlessly efficient. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 60.39%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Israel had a probability of 17.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.14%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Israel win it was 0-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Belgium would win this match.

Result
BelgiumDrawIsrael
60.39% (-0.868 -0.87) 22.24% (0.296 0.3) 17.38% (0.572 0.57)
Both teams to score 49.46% (0.221 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.63% (-0.297 -0.3)48.38% (0.298 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.49% (-0.272 -0.27)70.52% (0.273 0.27)
Belgium Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.41% (-0.387 -0.39)15.59% (0.385 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.44% (-0.72 -0.72)44.56% (0.721 0.72)
Israel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.6% (0.528 0.53)41.4% (-0.528 -0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.09% (0.464 0.46)77.91% (-0.46299999999999 -0.46)
Score Analysis
    Belgium 60.37%
    Israel 17.38%
    Draw 22.23%
BelgiumDrawIsrael
1-0 @ 11.99% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 11.14% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-1 @ 9.83% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 6.91% (-0.194 -0.19)
3-1 @ 6.09% (-0.081 -0.08)
4-0 @ 3.21% (-0.135 -0.14)
4-1 @ 2.83% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.69% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.25% (-0.015 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.19% (-0.067 -0.07)
5-1 @ 1.05% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 60.37%
1-1 @ 10.57% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 6.45% (0.079 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.34% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 22.23%
0-1 @ 5.69% (0.151 0.15)
1-2 @ 4.66% (0.129 0.13)
0-2 @ 2.51% (0.101 0.1)
1-3 @ 1.37% (0.057 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.27% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 17.38%

How you voted: Belgium vs Israel

Belgium
85.9%
Draw
9.0%
Israel
5.1%
177
Head to Head
Oct 13, 2015 7.45pm
Qualifiers
Belgium
3-1
Israel
Mertens (64'), De Bruyne (78'), Hazard (84')
De Bruyne (32'), Vertonghen (45')
Hemed (88')
Rikan (76')
Mar 31, 2015 7.45pm
Qualifiers
Israel
0-1
Belgium

Dgani (17'), Yeini (54'), Rafaelov (88')
Felliani (9')
Kompany (11'), Alderweireld (18'), Lombaerts (75')
Kompany (64')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool22165154213353
2Arsenal23138244212347
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2313553327644
4Manchester CityMan City23125647301741
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle23125641271441
6Chelsea23117545301540
7Bournemouth23117541261540
8Aston Villa2310763435-137
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2381053531434
10Fulham238963431333
11Brentford2394104240231
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd2385102832-429
13Crystal Palace236982630-427
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2376102844-1627
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs2373134637924
16Everton225891928-923
17Leicester CityLeicester2345142549-2417
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2344153252-2016
19Ipswich TownIpswich2337132147-2616
20Southampton2313191653-376


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!