MX23RW : Thursday, June 27 16:50:23| >> :60:33:33:
Belgium national football team
Friendlies 1
Jun 8, 2024 at 7pm UK
Stade Roi Baudouin
Luxembourg national football team

Belgium
3 - 0
Luxembourg

Lukaku (43' pen., 57'), Trossard (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Dzogovic (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's friendly clash between Belgium and Luxembourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Belgium 2-0 Montenegro
Wednesday, June 5 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: France 3-0 Luxembourg
Wednesday, June 5 at 8pm in International Friendlies

We said: Belgium 4-0 Luxembourg

With Tedesco naturally wanting to step up the sharpness of some of his players, this could end up being one-way traffic. Luxembourg have their own qualities, yet they may struggle to withstand Belgium's attacking flair on this occasion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 91.77%. A draw had a probability of 6.3% and a win for Luxembourg had a probability of 1.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 3-0 with a probability of 14.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.85%) and 4-0 (12.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.97%), while for a Luxembourg win it was 0-1 (0.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Belgium in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Belgium.

Result
BelgiumDrawLuxembourg
91.77% (1.546 1.55) 6.33% (-0.995 -1) 1.9% (-0.551 -0.55)
Both teams to score 31.61% (-2.857 -2.86)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.45% (1.282 1.28)26.55% (-1.283 -1.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53.09% (1.619 1.62)46.91% (-1.617 -1.62)
Belgium Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.75% (0.437 0.44)3.25% (-0.436 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
85.6% (1.469 1.47)14.39% (-1.47 -1.47)
Luxembourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
32.67% (-3.113 -3.11)67.33% (3.115 3.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
6.04% (-1.3039 -1.3)93.96% (1.304 1.3)
Score Analysis
    Belgium 91.76%
    Luxembourg 1.9%
    Draw 6.33%
BelgiumDrawLuxembourg
3-0 @ 14.67% (0.49 0.49)
2-0 @ 12.85% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
4-0 @ 12.56% (0.86 0.86)
5-0 @ 8.61% (0.888 0.89)
1-0 @ 7.5% (-0.316 -0.32)
3-1 @ 5.8% (-0.48 -0.48)
2-1 @ 5.08% (-0.63 -0.63)
4-1 @ 4.97% (-0.212 -0.21)
6-0 @ 4.92% (0.669 0.67)
5-1 @ 3.41% (-0.015 -0.01)
7-0 @ 2.41% (0.404 0.4)
6-1 @ 1.95% (0.064 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.15% (-0.244 -0.24)
8-0 @ 1.03% (0.204 0.2)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.165 -0.17)
7-1 @ 0.95% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 91.76%
1-1 @ 2.97% (-0.496 -0.5)
0-0 @ 2.19% (-0.179 -0.18)
2-2 @ 1.01% (-0.26 -0.26)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 6.33%
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 1.9%

How you voted: Belgium vs Luxembourg

Belgium
75.0%
Draw
22.2%
Luxembourg
2.8%
36
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Saturday, June 29
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 30
 
5pm
 
8pm
Monday, July 1
 
5pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, July 2
 
5pm
 
8pm
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania41215
Q Slovakia Slovakia41215
Q Belgium Belgium31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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