MX23RW : Tuesday, December 24 03:45:36| >> :60:196:196:
Belgium national football team
Friendlies 1
Jun 8, 2024 at 7pm UK
Stade Roi Baudouin
Luxembourg national football team

Belgium
3 - 0
Luxembourg

Lukaku (43' pen., 57'), Trossard (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Dzogovic (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's friendly clash between Belgium and Luxembourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Belgium

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Belgium 2-0 Montenegro
Wednesday, June 5 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies

Luxembourg

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: France 3-0 Luxembourg
Wednesday, June 5 at 8pm in International Friendlies

We said: Belgium 4-0 Luxembourg

 With Tedesco naturally wanting to step up the sharpness of some of his players, this could end up being one-way traffic. Luxembourg have their own qualities, yet they may struggle to withstand Belgium's attacking flair on this occasion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 91.77%. A draw had a probability of 6.3% and a win for Luxembourg had a probability of 1.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 3-0 with a probability of 14.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.85%) and 4-0 (12.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.97%), while for a Luxembourg win it was 0-1 (0.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Belgium in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Belgium.

Result
BelgiumDrawLuxembourg
91.77% (1.546 1.55) 6.33% (-0.995 -1) 1.9% (-0.551 -0.55)
Both teams to score 31.61% (-2.857 -2.86)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.45% (1.282 1.28)26.55% (-1.283 -1.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53.09% (1.619 1.62)46.91% (-1.617 -1.62)
Belgium Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.75% (0.437 0.44)3.25% (-0.436 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
85.6% (1.469 1.47)14.39% (-1.47 -1.47)
Luxembourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
32.67% (-3.113 -3.11)67.33% (3.115 3.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
6.04% (-1.3039 -1.3)93.96% (1.304 1.3)
Score Analysis
    Belgium 91.76%
    Luxembourg 1.9%
    Draw 6.33%
BelgiumDrawLuxembourg
3-0 @ 14.67% (0.49 0.49)
2-0 @ 12.85% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
4-0 @ 12.56% (0.86 0.86)
5-0 @ 8.61% (0.888 0.89)
1-0 @ 7.5% (-0.316 -0.32)
3-1 @ 5.8% (-0.48 -0.48)
2-1 @ 5.08% (-0.63 -0.63)
4-1 @ 4.97% (-0.212 -0.21)
6-0 @ 4.92% (0.669 0.67)
5-1 @ 3.41% (-0.015 -0.01)
7-0 @ 2.41% (0.404 0.4)
6-1 @ 1.95% (0.064 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.15% (-0.244 -0.24)
8-0 @ 1.03% (0.204 0.2)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.165 -0.17)
7-1 @ 0.95% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 91.76%
1-1 @ 2.97% (-0.496 -0.5)
0-0 @ 2.19% (-0.179 -0.18)
2-2 @ 1.01% (-0.26 -0.26)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 6.33%
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 1.9%

How you voted: Belgium vs Luxembourg

Belgium
75.0%
Draw
22.2%
Luxembourg
2.8%
36
rhs 2.0
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