MX23RW : Thursday, January 23 11:59:38| >> :600:3618068:3618068:
UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Croatia national football team
Nations League | League A
Sep 22, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
 
Denmark national football team

Croatia
2 - 1
Denmark

Sosa (49'), Majer (79')
Perisic (36')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Eriksen (77')
Kjaer (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League clash between Croatia and Denmark, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Croatia

Last Six:
Comp:
Last Game: France 0-1 Croatia
Monday, June 13 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Denmark

Last Six:
Comp:
Last Game: Denmark 2-0 Austria
Monday, June 13 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Croatia 0-0 Denmark

 Denmark certainly do not possess an affinity for draws, but rustiness may come into play for both sides after three months with no international action, and June's showdown was an extremely close contest. Both defences should also feel capable of keeping their opposing attackers at bay, especially with Denmark a tad light in that area, so we would not be surprised to see this one end goalless as the battle for top spot goes right down to the wire. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Denmark win with a probability of 46.82%. A win for Croatia had a probability of 29.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Denmark win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.17%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Croatia win was 2-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
CroatiaDrawDenmark
29.59% (-0.121 -0.12) 23.58% (-0.19 -0.19) 46.82% (0.308 0.31)
Both teams to score 60.32% (0.589 0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.75% (0.81 0.81)41.25% (-0.813 -0.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.35% (0.82 0.82)63.64% (-0.822 -0.82)
Croatia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.43% (0.32600000000001 0.33)26.56% (-0.329 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.22% (0.432 0.43)61.78% (-0.435 -0.44)
Denmark Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.13% (0.437 0.44)17.86% (-0.44 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.37% (0.75 0.75)48.62% (-0.753 -0.75)
Score Analysis
    Croatia 29.59%
    Denmark 46.83%
    Draw 23.57%
CroatiaDrawDenmark
2-1 @ 7.18% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-0 @ 6.29% (-0.174 -0.17)
2-0 @ 4.17% (-0.076 -0.08)
3-1 @ 3.17% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.73% (0.054 0.05)
3-0 @ 1.84% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.05% (0.015 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.91% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 29.59%
1-1 @ 10.83% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-2 @ 6.19% (0.063999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 4.74% (-0.177 -0.18)
3-3 @ 1.57% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.57%
1-2 @ 9.33% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.17% (-0.184 -0.18)
0-2 @ 7.04% (-0.058000000000001 -0.06)
1-3 @ 5.36% (0.081 0.08)
0-3 @ 4.04% (0.024 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.55% (0.086 0.09)
1-4 @ 2.31% (0.068 0.07)
0-4 @ 1.74% (0.035 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.53% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 46.83%

How you voted: Croatia vs Denmark

Croatia
47.0%
Draw
27.6%
Denmark
25.4%
362
Head to Head
Jun 10, 2022 7.45pm
League A1
Denmark
0-1
Croatia

Cornelius (8'), Andersen (67')
Pasalic (69')
Stanisic (75'), Budimir (86')
Jul 1, 2018 7pm
Croatia
1-1
Denmark
 Croatia win 3-2 on penalties
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool21155150203050
2Arsenal22128243212244
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest22135433221144
4Chelsea22117444271740
5Manchester CityMan City22115644291538
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
7Bournemouth22107536261037
8Aston Villa2210663334-136
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2281043530534
10Fulham228953430433
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2275102732-526
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs22731245351024
16Everton214891828-1020
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2244143251-1916
18Ipswich TownIpswich2237122043-2316
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2213181550-356
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!