UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League A

Jun 3, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Croatia
0 - 3
Austria

Caleta-Car (74')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Arnautovic (41'), Gregoritsch (54'), Sabitzer (57')
Schlager (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Nations League clash between Croatia and Austria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Croatia

Last Six:

Last Game: Croatia 1-1 France
Monday, June 6 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Next Game: Denmark vs. Croatia
Friday, June 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League A1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Denmark	2	2	6
2	Austria	2	2	3
3	France	2	-1	1
4	Croatia	2	-3	1

Austria

Last Six:

Last Game: Austria 1-2 Denmark
Monday, June 6 at 9.15pm in Nations League

Next Game: Austria vs. France
Friday, June 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League A1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Denmark	2	2	6
2	Austria	2	2	3
3	France	2	-1	1
4	Croatia	2	-3	1

Rangnick will be desperate to get off to the perfect start as head coach of Austria, and the visitors are certainly capable of picking up a positive result on Friday. Croatia have a lot of quality, though, especially in midfield, and we believe that the home side will claim a narrow success in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia win with a probability of 50.46%. A win for Austria had a probability of 25.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Croatia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Austria win was 0-1 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.

Result
Croatia	Draw	Austria
50.46% ( 0.08)	24.1% ( -0.01)	25.45% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 55.13% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.44% (

-0.03)

46.55% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.17% (

-0.02)

68.83% (

0.02)

Croatia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.51% (

0.02)

18.48% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.31% (

0.04)

49.69% (

-0.04)

Austria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.64% (

-0.08)

32.36% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.13% (

-0.09)

68.87% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Croatia 50.45%

Austria 25.45%

Draw 24.09%

Croatia	Draw	Austria
1-0 @ 10.09% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.52% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.41% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.8% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.05% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.28% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.03% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.29% Other @ 3.36% Total : 50.45%	1-1 @ 11.39% 0-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.09%	0-1 @ 6.75% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.43% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.57% Total : 25.45%