We said: Croatia 2-1 Austria
Rangnick will be desperate to get off to the perfect start as head coach of Austria, and the visitors are certainly capable of picking up a positive result on Friday. Croatia have a lot of quality, though, especially in midfield, and we believe that the home side will claim a narrow success in this contest.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia win with a probability of 50.46%. A win for Austria had a probability of 25.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Croatia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Austria win was 0-1 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.