We said: Denmark 1-1 Austria
Denmark and Austria can both be satisfied with their starts to the current Nations League cycle but will already be itching for a long summer break, which could lead to a somewhat conservative battle between tired legs.
Hjulmand's men are unlikely to be kept at bay on their own soil, but Austria held their own remarkably well against France, and we think this showdown has a low-scoring draw written all over it.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Denmark win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Austria had a probability of 36.34% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Denmark win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.13%) and 3-1 (5.13%). The likeliest Austria win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Denmark would win this match.
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