UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League A

Jun 13, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Denmark
2 - 0
Austria

Wind (21'), Skov Olsen (37')
Wind (26')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Wimmer (42'), Danso (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Nations League clash between Denmark and Austria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Denmark

Last Six:

Last Game: Denmark 0-1 Croatia
Friday, June 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League A1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Denmark	3	1	6
2	Austria	3	2	4
3	Croatia	3	-2	4
4	France	3	-1	2

Austria

Last Six:

Last Game: Austria 1-1 France
Friday, June 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League A1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Denmark	3	1	6
2	Austria	3	2	4
3	Croatia	3	-2	4
4	France	3	-1	2

Denmark and Austria can both be satisfied with their starts to the current Nations League cycle but will already be itching for a long summer break, which could lead to a somewhat conservative battle between tired legs. Hjulmand's men are unlikely to be kept at bay on their own soil, but Austria held their own remarkably well against France, and we think this showdown has a low-scoring draw written all over it. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Denmark win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Austria had a probability of 36.34% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Denmark win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.13%) and 3-1 (5.13%). The likeliest Austria win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Denmark would win this match.

Result
Denmark	Draw	Austria
41.74% ( -0.05)	21.92% ( -0.04)	36.34% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 69.48% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.57% (

0.21)

30.43% (

-0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.29% (

0.25)

51.7% (

-0.26)

Denmark Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.47% (

0.07)

15.53% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.55% (

0.13)

44.45% (

-0.13)

Austria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.25% (

0.13)

17.75% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.57% (

0.23)

48.43% (

-0.23)

Score Analysis

Denmark 41.74%

Austria 36.34%

Draw 21.92%

Denmark	Draw	Austria
2-1 @ 8.26% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 5.13% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.78% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 4.44% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.39% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( -0) 4-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.01% Total : 41.74%	1-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 7.14% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 2.76% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.59% Total : 21.92%	1-2 @ 7.67% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.77% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 4.42% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 4.12% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.37% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.91% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.78% ( 0.02) 3-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.04% Total : 36.34%