Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 45.71%. A win for Denmark had a probability of 27.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (8.68%). The likeliest Denmark win was 1-0 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Spain in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Spain.
-0.36) 
0.42) 
