UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League B

Sep 23, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Finland
1 - 1
Romania

Pukki (12')
Kamara (61'), Schuller (71'), Kallman (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Tanase (52')
Rus (41'), Marin (65')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Nations League clash between Finland and Romania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Finland

Last Six:

Comp:

Last Game: Bosnia H'vina 3-2 Finland
Tuesday, June 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League B3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bosnia-Herzegovina	0	0	0
2	Montenegro	0	0	0
3	Finland	0	0	0
4	Romania	0	0	0

Romania

Last Six:

Comp:

Last Game: Romania 0-3 Montenegro
Tuesday, June 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League B3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bosnia-Herzegovina	0	0	0
2	Montenegro	0	0	0
3	Finland	0	0	0
4	Romania	0	0	0

Romania's only points in this group have come against Finland, but this will be a different proposition for Iordanescu's side on their travels. A point would be a better result for Finland considering how Group 3 is shaping up, and we are expecting the two teams to share the spoils on Friday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Finland win with a probability of 52.07%. A win for Romania had a probability of 24.04% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Finland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest Romania win was 0-1 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Finland	Draw	Romania
52.07% ( -0.02)	23.88% ( 0.02)	24.04% ( -0)

Both teams to score 54.37% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.13% (

-0.08)

46.87% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.88% (

-0.07)

69.12% (

0.07)

Finland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.02% (

-0.03)

17.98% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.16% (

-0.06)

48.83% (

0.06)

Romania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.29% (

-0.05)

33.71% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.64% (

-0.05)

70.36% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Finland 52.08%

Romania 24.05%

Draw 23.87%

Finland	Draw	Romania
1-0 @ 10.4% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.92% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.55% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.1% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.19% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0) Other @ 3.52% Total : 52.08%	1-1 @ 11.3% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.87%	0-1 @ 6.59% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.15% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.58% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.23% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.3% ( -0) Other @ 2.28% Total : 24.05%