We said: Liechtenstein 0-2 Latvia
Liechtenstein enter the contest off the back of nine consecutive defeats, while Latvia are looking to clinch a fifth successive victory, and with the two sides current experiencing an opposite run of results, we think the visitors will claim all three points.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Latvia win with a probability of 60.46%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Liechtenstein had a probability of 16.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Latvia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.19%) and 1-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Liechtenstein win it was 1-0 (6.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Latvia in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Latvia.