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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Liechtenstein national football team
Nations League | League D
Jun 3, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
 
Moldova national football team

Liechtenstein
0 - 2
Moldova


Meier (42'), Graber (51'), Frick (55')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Nicolaescu (5' pen.), Bolohan (90+4')
Reabciuk (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Nations League clash between Liechtenstein and Moldova, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Liechtenstein

Last Six:
Last Game: Latvia 1-0 Liechtenstein
Monday, June 6 at 5pm in Nations League
Next Game: Andorra vs. Liechtenstein
Friday, June 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Moldova

Last Six:
Last Game: Andorra 0-0 Moldova
Monday, June 6 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Moldova vs. Latvia
Friday, June 10 at 5pm in Nations League

We said: Liechtenstein 1-1 Moldova

 It is very difficult to pick a winner from a match featuring two sides who have lost 27 of their last 29 matches when combined. So, quite simply, it seems most sensible not to do so and instead to back a score draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moldova win with a probability of 48.66%. A win for Liechtenstein had a probability of 29.68% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moldova win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.96%) and 0-1 (5.93%). The likeliest Liechtenstein win was 2-1 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Moldova would win this match.

Result
LiechtensteinDrawMoldova
29.68% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 21.66% (-0.017999999999997 -0.02) 48.66% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 67.5% (0.081999999999994 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.15% (0.105 0.11)31.84% (-0.103 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.61% (0.122 0.12)53.38% (-0.119 -0.12)
Liechtenstein Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.19% (0.060000000000002 0.06)21.8% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.98% (0.086999999999996 0.09)55.01% (-0.084999999999994 -0.08)
Moldova Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.33% (0.043999999999997 0.04)13.67% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.13% (0.082999999999998 0.08)40.87% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Liechtenstein 29.68%
    Moldova 48.66%
    Draw 21.66%
LiechtensteinDrawMoldova
2-1 @ 6.88% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-0 @ 4.54% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.48% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.46% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.76% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.33% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.32% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 29.68%
1-1 @ 9.03% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.85% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.98% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-3 @ 2.31% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 21.66%
1-2 @ 8.99% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.96% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-1 @ 5.93% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.9% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-3 @ 4.54% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.92% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 2.97% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 2.26% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.95% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-5 @ 1.18% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
3-4 @ 1.15% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 48.66%

How you voted: Liechtenstein vs Moldova

Liechtenstein
32.9%
Draw
30.1%
Moldova
37.0%
73
Head to Head
Jun 14, 2015 5pm
Group G
Liechtenstein
1-1
Moldova
Wieser (21')
Wieser (50'), Erne (76')
Boghiu (44')
Gatcan (51')
> Match Report
Nov 15, 2014 5pm
Group G
Moldova
0-1
Liechtenstein
Burgmeier (74')
Brandle (55'), Salanovic (79')
> Match Report
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