The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's UEFA Nations League clash between Poland and Italy, including team news and predicted lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how Italy could line up in Sunday's UEFA Nations League clash with Poland.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 55.06%. A win for Poland had a probability of 22.52% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.26%) and 0-2 (8.73%). The likeliest Poland win was 2-1 (5.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Poland | Draw | Italy |
| 22.52% | 22.41% | 55.06% |
| Both teams to score 57.36% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
