MX23RW : Thursday, June 27 18:32:08| >> :600:8213590:8213590:
UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Poland national football team
Nations League | League A
Sep 22, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
National Stadium
Netherlands national football team

Poland
0 - 2
Netherlands


Szczesny (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gakpo (13'), Bergwijn (60')
Ake (32'), Gakpo (61'), Janssen (82'), Weghorst (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League clash between Poland and Netherlands, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Netherlands could line up for Thursday's Nations League clash with Poland.

Form, Standings, Stats

Poland

Last Six:
Comp:
Last Game: Poland 0-1 Belgium
Tuesday, June 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Netherlands

Last Six:
Comp:
Last Game: Netherlands 3-2 Wales
Tuesday, June 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Poland 1-2 Netherlands

 Both sides caused problems for one another the last time that they locked horns three months ago, and another closely-fought contest is to be expected on Thursday. Poland will fancy their chances with Lewandowski leading the line, but we can see Netherlands securing a slender victory, which could be enough to seal their place in the Nations League semi-finals if Belgium fail to beat Wales. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 49.7%. A win for Poland had a probability of 26.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest Poland win was 2-1 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Netherlands would win this match.

Result
PolandDrawNetherlands
26.76% (0.068999999999999 0.07) 23.55% (-0.168 -0.17) 49.7% (0.101 0.1)
Both teams to score 58.22% (0.645 0.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.96% (0.824 0.82)43.04% (-0.821 -0.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.56% (0.811 0.81)65.44% (-0.809 -0.81)
Poland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.52% (0.48399999999999 0.48)29.48% (-0.481 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.52% (0.586 0.59)65.48% (-0.58500000000001 -0.59)
Netherlands Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.56% (0.351 0.35)17.44% (-0.349 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.1% (0.60899999999999 0.61)47.9% (-0.605 -0.6)
Score Analysis
    Poland 26.76%
    Netherlands 49.7%
    Draw 23.54%
PolandDrawNetherlands
2-1 @ 6.7% (0.014 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.28% (-0.144 -0.14)
2-0 @ 3.84% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.73% (0.042 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.38% (0.063 0.06)
3-0 @ 1.56% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 26.76%
1-1 @ 10.96% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-2 @ 5.85% (0.078 0.08)
0-0 @ 5.14% (-0.188 -0.19)
3-3 @ 1.39% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.54%
1-2 @ 9.58% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-1 @ 8.98% (-0.224 -0.22)
0-2 @ 7.84% (-0.105 -0.11)
1-3 @ 5.57% (0.063 0.06)
0-3 @ 4.56% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.41% (0.084 0.08)
1-4 @ 2.43% (0.055 0.06)
0-4 @ 1.99% (0.019 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.49% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 49.7%

How you voted: Poland vs Netherlands

Poland
24.9%
Draw
12.9%
Netherlands
62.1%
317
Head to Head
Jun 11, 2022 7.45pm
League A4
Netherlands
2-2
Poland
Klaassen (51'), Dumfries (54')
Berghuis (59'), Bergwijn (63'), de Jong (86')
Cash (18'), Zielinski (49')
Krychowiak (16'), Bednarek (20'), Skorupski (63'), Zielinski (83'), Zurkowski (86')
Nov 18, 2020 7.45pm
League A1
Poland
1-2
Netherlands
Jozwiak (6')
Krychowiak (14'), Bednarek (77'), Jozwiak (82')
Depay (77' pen.), Wijnaldum (84')
Sep 4, 2020 7.45pm
League A1
Netherlands
1-0
Poland
Bergwijn (61')
de Roon (71'), Depay (74'), de Jong (89')

Piatek (21'), Klich (33'), Jozwiak (56'), Glik (63'), Bednarek (90+1')
Jun 1, 2016 7.45pm
Poland
1-2
Netherlands
Jedrzejczyk (60')
Lewandowksi (63')
Janssen (33'), Wijnaldum (76')
Wijnaldum (63')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Saturday, June 29
 
5pm
Round of 16
Switzerland
vs.
Italy
 
8pm
Round of 16
Germany
vs.
Denmark
Sunday, June 30
 
5pm
Round of 16
England
vs.
Slovakia
 
8pm
Round of 16
Spain
vs.
Georgia
Monday, July 1
 
5pm
Round of 16
France
vs.
Belgium
 
8pm
Round of 16
Portugal
vs.
Slovenia
Tuesday, July 2
 
5pm
Round of 16
Romania
vs.
Netherlands
 
8pm
Round of 16
Austria
vs.
Turkey
Friday, July 5
 
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
 
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
 
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
 
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
 
8pm
Semi-Finals
Winner Quarter-final 1
vs.
Winner Quarter-final 2
Wednesday, July 10
 
8pm
Semi-Finals
Winner Quarter-final 3
vs.
Winner Quarter-final 4
Sunday, July 14
 
8pm
Final
Winner SF1
vs.
Winner SF2
> View full version> Results
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania41215
Q Slovakia Slovakia41215
Q Belgium Belgium31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121
> European Championship 2024 overview


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