The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Nations League clash between Netherlands and Wales, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how Netherlands could line up against Wales in the UEFA Nations League.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Netherlands 2-2 Poland
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League
| Current League A4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Netherlands | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Belgium | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Poland | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 4 | Wales | 3 | -2 | 1 |
Last Game: Wales 1-1 Belgium
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League
| Current League A4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Netherlands | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Belgium | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Poland | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 4 | Wales | 3 | -2 | 1 |
We said: Netherlands 2-1 Wales
Wales are more than capable of causing problems for the Netherlands, and we are expecting a tight match on Tuesday night. Holland will be determined to bounce back from what was a disappointing performance against Poland, though, and we believe that Van Gaal's side will again record a 2-1 win over Wales. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 60.17%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Wales had a probability of 16.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.96%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Wales win it was 0-1 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Netherlands would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Netherlands | Draw | Wales |
60.17% ( -0) | 23.12% ( 0) | 16.7% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 45.58% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.11% ( -0.01) | 52.89% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.5% ( -0.01) | 74.5% ( 0.01) |
| Netherlands Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.76% ( -0) | 17.24% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.46% ( -0.01) | 47.54% ( 0.01) |
| Wales Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.07% ( -0) | 44.93% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 19.13% ( -0) | 80.87% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
Netherlands 60.16%
Wales 16.7%
Draw 23.12%
| Netherlands | Draw | Wales |
| 1-0 @ 13.61% 2-0 @ 11.96% 2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.01% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.61% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.08% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.47% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.25% 5-0 @ 1.08% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.52% Total : 60.16% | 1-1 @ 10.89% 0-0 @ 7.74% ( 0)2-2 @ 3.83% Other @ 0.66% Total : 23.12% | 0-1 @ 6.2% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.36% 0-2 @ 2.48% 1-3 @ 1.16% 2-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.49% Total : 16.7% |
How you voted: Netherlands vs Wales
Netherlands
82.4%Draw
8.8%Wales
8.8%125
Head to Head
Jun 8, 2022 7.45pm
Jun 6, 2020 6.30pm
Nov 13, 2015 7.45pm
Jun 4, 2014 7.30pm
Form Guide
