Nations League | League C
Nov 18, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Arena Nationala
We said: Romania 3-1 Cyprus
Last month's meeting demonstrated the gap between the two nations, with Romania recently enjoying a renaissance and Cyprus continuing to toil outside the world's top 100.
While the Tricolorii must await the outcome of a UEFA investigation into their penultimate Group 2 fixture, there should be no doubts about the outcome of their last one.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Romania win with a probability of 64.42% . A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Cyprus had a probability of 15.45% .
The most likely scoreline for a Romania win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.92% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (9.9%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.53%) , while for a Cyprus win it was 0-1 (4.59%) . The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Romania would win this match.
Result Romania Draw Cyprus 64.42% ( 1.19) 20.13% ( -0.49) 15.45% ( -0.71)
Both teams to score 52.1% ( -0.02)
57.28% ( 0.81) 42.72% ( -0.81)
34.88% ( 0.8) 65.12% ( -0.8)
87.46% ( 0.59) 12.54% ( -0.59)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 61.43% ( 1.22) 38.56% ( -1.22)
59.57% ( -0.42) 40.43% ( 0.42)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 22.95% ( -0.39) 77.04% ( 0.38)
Romania 64.41%
Cyprus 15.45%
Draw 20.13%
Romania Draw Cyprus 2-0 @ 10.92% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 10.52% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 7.57% ( 0.24) 3-1 @ 6.85% ( 0.14) 4-0 @ 3.93% ( 0.21) 4-1 @ 3.56% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.12) 4-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.48% ( 0.09) Other @ 3.35% Total : 64.41% 1-1 @ 9.53% ( -0.24) 0-0 @ 5.07% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 20.13% 0-1 @ 4.59% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.81% Total : 15.45%
How you voted: Romania vs Cyprus
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rhs 2.0
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