Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 58.88%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 20.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.36%) and 1-0 (7.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.29%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 1-2 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ballymena United would win this match.