Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 65.31%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 15.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 1-0 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.85%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 1-2 (4.38%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ballymena United would win this match.