MX23RW : Sunday, October 6 16:07:27| >> :300:86500:86500:
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 11
Oct 5, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Showgrounds

Ballymena
4 - 1
Loughgall

Kennedy (25' pen.), Nelson (27'), Scott (33'), Moore (58')
Moore (79'), (89')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Boyd (31')
McCloskey (31'), Balde (65'), Moore (79'), Kelly (79'), McAleer (87'), (90')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Ballymena United and Loughgall.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portadown 0-1 Ballymena
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Loughgall 0-4 Crusaders
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 54.26%. A win for Loughgall had a probability of 23.66% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Loughgall win was 1-2 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ballymena United would win this match.

Result
Ballymena UnitedDrawLoughgall
54.26% (-0.154 -0.15) 22.08% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07) 23.66% (0.224 0.22)
Both teams to score 60.03% (0.542 0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.84% (0.586 0.59)39.16% (-0.587 -0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.51% (0.61 0.61)61.49% (-0.61 -0.61)
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.55% (0.151 0.15)14.45% (-0.151 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.6% (0.29199999999999 0.29)42.4% (-0.292 -0.29)
Loughgall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.17% (0.509 0.51)29.83% (-0.51 -0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.09% (0.611 0.61)65.91% (-0.613 -0.61)
Score Analysis
    Ballymena United 54.26%
    Loughgall 23.66%
    Draw 22.07%
Ballymena UnitedDrawLoughgall
2-1 @ 9.76% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.34% (-0.185 -0.19)
2-0 @ 8.06% (-0.135 -0.14)
3-1 @ 6.29% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.2% (-0.058000000000001 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.81% (0.065 0.07)
4-1 @ 3.04% (0.025 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.52% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.84% (0.041 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.18% (0.016 0.02)
5-0 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 54.26%
1-1 @ 10.08% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.9% (0.068 0.07)
0-0 @ 4.31% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.54% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.07%
1-2 @ 6.1% (0.039 0.04)
0-1 @ 5.21% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-2 @ 3.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.46% (0.05 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.38% (0.061 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.27% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 23.66%

Head to Head
Apr 6, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 1
Loughgall
2-3
Ballymena
Strain (54'), Ferris (62')
Kelly (68'), Turker (71'), Hoey (90+5'), Rea (90+6')
Taylor (3'), Gawne (4'), McCullough (72' pen.)
Gawne (30')
Jan 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 27
Ballymena
0-1
Loughgall

Robinson (38'), McMurray (53'), Strain (90+4')
Ferris (62')
Gibson (81')
Nov 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 15
Loughgall
5-2
Ballymena
Magee (26', 31'), B. (29+29'), Carroll (46'), Patton (71')
Hoey (53'), Boyd (68'), Kelly (90+1')
Waide (15', 54')
Nelson (22'), Boyle (90+1')
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Ballymena
1-3
Loughgall
Coates (37')
Nelson (10'), Coates (32'), Burns (51')
Ferris (54', 58'), Hoey (66')
Brogan (36'), Murdock (44')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ballymena UnitedBallymena117041913621
2LinfieldLinfield106222081220
3Dungannon SwiftsDungannon11623168820
4GlentoranGlentoran11524119217
5CrusadersCrusaders9513118316
6LarneLarne842296314
7CliftonvilleCliftonville104241312114
8ColeraineColeraine103431414013
9GlenavonGlenavon113441014-413
10PortadownPortadown103341413112
11Carrick RangersCarrick10208921-126
12Loughgall111281030-205


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