MX23RW : Saturday, April 26 01:12:26| >> :300:86500:86500:
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 3
Feb 4, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena
Larne

Carrick
1 - 2
Larne

Macuilaitis (23')
Forsythe (40'), Crowe (45+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Graham (66'), O'Connor (83')
Ferguson (24'), Cosgrove (52'), Gallagher (71')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Carrick Rangers and Larne.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Glenavon 2-1 Carrick
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Larne 1-1 Portadown
Saturday, February 1 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 45.26%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 25.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.37%) and 1-2 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.03%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 1-0 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.

Result
Carrick RangersDrawLarne
25.83% (0.023 0.02) 28.91% (0.561 0.56) 45.26% (-0.58 -0.58)
Both teams to score 41.84% (-1.359 -1.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.05% (-1.72 -1.72)63.95% (1.723 1.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.85% (-1.245 -1.25)83.15% (1.247 1.25)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.39% (-0.964 -0.96)41.61% (0.966 0.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.9% (-0.858 -0.86)78.1% (0.861 0.86)
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.65% (-1.125 -1.13)28.34% (1.127 1.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.92% (-1.441 -1.44)64.08% (1.445 1.45)
Score Analysis
    Carrick Rangers 25.83%
    Larne 45.25%
    Draw 28.9%
Carrick RangersDrawLarne
1-0 @ 10.34% (0.381 0.38)
2-1 @ 5.72% (-0.118 -0.12)
2-0 @ 4.53% (0.051 0.05)
3-1 @ 1.67% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-0 @ 1.33% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.05% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 1.19%
Total : 25.83%
1-1 @ 13.03% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
0-0 @ 11.79% (0.73 0.73)
2-2 @ 3.6% (-0.193 -0.19)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 28.9%
0-1 @ 14.86% (0.47 0.47)
0-2 @ 9.37% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.22% (-0.214 -0.21)
0-3 @ 3.94% (-0.124 -0.12)
1-3 @ 3.45% (-0.204 -0.2)
2-3 @ 1.51% (-0.133 -0.13)
0-4 @ 1.24% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-4 @ 1.09% (-0.101 -0.1)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 45.25%

Head to Head
Dec 26, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 23
Larne
0-0
Carrick
Bolger (89'), Want (89')
Cherry (71'), Clucas (78')
Dec 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Carrick
1-2
Larne
Allen (78')
Forsythe (42'), Crowe (57'), Purkis (64'), Gordon (90+4')
Millar (27'), Ryan (76')
Ives (65'), Thomson (77'), Orozco (83')
Oct 20, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Larne
2-0
Carrick
Cosgrove (16'), O'Neill (84')
Donnelly (32'), Want (65')
Sep 22, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Larne
4-1
Carrick
O'Neill (15', 78'), Ryan (31', 44')
Ives (34'), Bolger (44')
Purkis (60')
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 30
Carrick
2-3
Larne
Cherry (64', 90+1' pen.)
Ryan (61'), O'Neill (75', 79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1LinfieldLinfield37274669274285
2LarneLarne371711946331362
3GlentoranGlentoran371791149371260
4Dungannon SwiftsDungannon37166155048254
5CrusadersCrusaders37166154752-554
6ColeraineColeraine371410135450452
Relegation Round
1CliftonvilleCliftonville371671454401455
2PortadownPortadown37158144644253
3Ballymena UnitedBallymena37145184652-647
4GlenavonGlenavon371110163847-943
5Carrick RangersCarrick37711193255-2332
6Loughgall3757253581-4622
 
Regular Season
1LinfieldLinfield33244561233876
2LarneLarne33159939281154
3GlentoranGlentoran3315994031954
4Dungannon SwiftsDungannon33155134440450
5CrusadersCrusaders33155134143-250
6ColeraineColeraine331310104941849
7CliftonvilleCliftonville33137134437746
8PortadownPortadown33137133938146
9Ballymena UnitedBallymena33134164042-243
10GlenavonGlenavon33109143543-839
11Carrick RangersCarrick3369182448-2427
12Loughgall3346232971-4218


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