MX23RW : Saturday, October 5 21:51:49| >> :300:86500:86500:
Larne
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 9
Sep 22, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Inver Park

Larne
4 - 1
Carrick

O'Neill (15', 78'), Ryan (31', 44')
Ives (34'), Bolger (44')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Purkis (60')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Larne and Carrick Rangers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Larne 2-0 Linfield
Friday, September 15 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glenavon 2-1 Carrick
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 86.01%. A draw had a probability of 9.9% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 4.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.98%) and 4-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.71%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 0-1 (1.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.

Result
LarneDrawCarrick Rangers
86.01% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03) 9.9% (0.012 0.01) 4.09% (0.014900000000001 0.01)
Both teams to score 39.9% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.79% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)31.21% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.37% (0.011000000000003 0.01)52.63% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)4.96% (0.0038999999999998 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
80.14% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)19.86% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
41.98% (0.062000000000005 0.06)58.01% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.4% (0.038 0.04)89.6% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Larne 86%
    Carrick Rangers 4.09%
    Draw 9.9%
LarneDrawCarrick Rangers
3-0 @ 12.99% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 12.98% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 9.76% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.64% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 7.08% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.07% (0.008 0.01)
5-0 @ 5.86% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
4-1 @ 5.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 3.19% (0.0010000000000003 0)
6-0 @ 2.94% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.93% (0.006 0.01)
6-1 @ 1.6%
4-2 @ 1.45% (0.004 0)
7-0 @ 1.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 86%
1-1 @ 4.71% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.88% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-2 @ 1.92% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 9.9%
0-1 @ 1.57% (0.002 0)
1-2 @ 1.28% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.24%
Total : 4.09%

Head to Head
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 30
Carrick
2-3
Larne
Cherry (64', 90+1' pen.)
Ryan (61'), O'Neill (75', 79')
Dec 26, 2022 5.30pm
Sep 23, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Carrick
0-1
Larne
Gordon (79')
Mar 18, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Carrick
1-1
Larne
Carson (14')
Cherry (39'), Ervin (84')
Lynch (38')
(33'), Hughes (62'), (84'), (88')
Bolger (9'), Scott (85')
Dec 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 20
Carrick
1-3
Larne
Cushley (32' pen.)
Ervin (50')
Cosgrove (38'), Hale (45+2'), McDaid (85')
(45'), (48'), (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ballymena UnitedBallymena117041913621
2LinfieldLinfield106222081220
3Dungannon SwiftsDungannon10523138517
4GlentoranGlentoran11524119217
5CrusadersCrusaders9513118316
6LarneLarne742193614
7CliftonvilleCliftonville104241312114
8ColeraineColeraine103431414013
9GlenavonGlenavon113441014-413
10PortadownPortadown103341413112
11Carrick RangersCarrick10208921-126
12Loughgall111281030-205


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