MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 23:57:01| >> :300:86500:86500:
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena
Larne

Carrick
1 - 2
Larne

Allen (78')
Forsythe (42'), Crowe (57'), Purkis (64'), Gordon (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Millar (27'), Ryan (76')
Ives (65'), Thomson (77'), Orozco (83')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Carrick Rangers and Larne.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carrick Rangers

All competitions
Last Game: Newry City AFC 0-1 Carrick
Friday, December 22 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Larne

All competitions
Last Game: Larne 1-0 Loughgall
Friday, December 22 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 68.17%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 12.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.06%) and 1-2 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 1-0 (4.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.

Result
Carrick RangersDrawLarne
12.49% (0.507 0.51) 19.35% (0.531 0.53) 68.17% (-1.035 -1.04)
Both teams to score 46.73% (-0.16200000000001 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.27% (-1.065 -1.07)45.72% (1.068 1.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.95% (-1.02 -1.02)68.04% (1.023 1.02)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.33% (0.18 0.18)46.67% (-0.176 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.76% (0.136 0.14)82.24% (-0.131 -0.13)
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.62% (-0.596 -0.6)12.37% (0.599 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.77% (-1.261 -1.26)38.23% (1.264 1.26)
Score Analysis
    Carrick Rangers 12.49%
    Larne 68.15%
    Draw 19.35%
Carrick RangersDrawLarne
1-0 @ 4.4% (0.218 0.22)
2-1 @ 3.5% (0.111 0.11)
2-0 @ 1.68% (0.091 0.09)
3-2 @ 0.93% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 12.49%
1-1 @ 9.2% (0.248 0.25)
0-0 @ 5.78% (0.259 0.26)
2-2 @ 3.66% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 19.35%
0-2 @ 12.6% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-1 @ 12.06% (0.26 0.26)
1-2 @ 9.61% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
0-3 @ 8.78% (-0.218 -0.22)
1-3 @ 6.69% (-0.132 -0.13)
0-4 @ 4.59% (-0.225 -0.23)
1-4 @ 3.5% (-0.154 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.55% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-5 @ 1.92% (-0.142 -0.14)
1-5 @ 1.46% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-4 @ 1.33% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 68.15%

Head to Head
Oct 20, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Larne
2-0
Carrick
Cosgrove (16'), O'Neill (84')
Donnelly (32'), Want (65')
Sep 22, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Larne
4-1
Carrick
O'Neill (15', 78'), Ryan (31', 44')
Ives (34'), Bolger (44')
Purkis (60')
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 30
Carrick
2-3
Larne
Cherry (64', 90+1' pen.)
Ryan (61'), O'Neill (75', 79')
Dec 26, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 21
Larne
0-0
Carrick
Sep 23, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Carrick
0-1
Larne
Gordon (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield1492330141629
2CliftonvilleCliftonville147341814424
3Ballymena UnitedBallymena158072018224
4Dungannon SwiftsDungannon157262017323
5ColeraineColeraine156452320322
6PortadownPortadown146352016421
7GlentoranGlentoran156361514121
8CrusadersCrusaders136251513220
9LarneLarne11533139418
10GlenavonGlenavon153661119-815
11Carrick RangersCarrick143291427-1311
12Loughgall1532101735-1811
> NIFL Premiership Full Table


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