NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 5
Apr 27, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Mourneview Park
Glenavon1 - 2Carrick
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Glenavon and Carrick Rangers.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Dungannon 2-0 Glenavon
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Goals
for
for
44
Last Game: Carrick 2-1 Loughgall
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Goals
for
for
52
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 40.86%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.63%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Glenavon | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
40.86% ( -0.18) | 24.1% ( -0.03) | 35.04% ( 0.21) |
Both teams to score 60.79% ( 0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.38% ( 0.18) | 41.62% ( -0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.98% ( 0.18) | 64.02% ( -0.18) |
Glenavon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.44% ( -0.01) | 20.55% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.93% ( -0.01) | 53.06% ( 0.01) |
Carrick Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.52% ( 0.2) | 23.48% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.5% ( 0.28) | 57.49% ( -0.29) |
Score Analysis |
Glenavon 40.86%
Carrick Rangers 35.04%
Draw 24.1%
Glenavon | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
2-1 @ 8.75% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.63% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 6.04% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 4.62% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.19% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.88% Total : 40.86% | 1-1 @ 11.06% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.34% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.82% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.1% | 1-2 @ 8.02% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.99% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.87% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.07% Total : 35.04% |
Head to Head
Jan 13, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 25
Carrick
0-2
Glenavon
McGuckin (65'), Cherry (90+3'), Crowe (90+4'), Glendinning (90+5')
Crowe (90+5')
Snoddy (45'), Campbell (70')
Wallace (59'), Snoddy (81')
Wallace (59'), Snoddy (81')
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Carrick
1-3
Glenavon
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Glenavon
2-1
Carrick
Prendergast (63'), Malone (81' pen.)
Wallace (45'), Snoddy (82'), Garrett (83'), Prendergast (90+1')
Wallace (45'), Snoddy (82'), Garrett (83'), Prendergast (90+1')
Purkis (75')
Crowe (12'), Watson (24'), Surgenor (80'), Glendinning (82')
Cherry (16')
Crowe (12'), Watson (24'), Surgenor (80'), Glendinning (82')
Cherry (16')
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-12-18 14:59:42
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | LinfieldLinfield | 20 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 39 | 16 | 23 | 44 |
2 | Dungannon SwiftsDungannon | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 24 | 3 | 33 |
3 | PortadownPortadown | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 31 |
4 | CliftonvilleCliftonville | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 31 |
5 | GlentoranGlentoran | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 31 |
6 | Ballymena UnitedBallymena | 19 | 9 | 0 | 10 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 27 |
7 | CrusadersCrusaders | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 27 |
8 | ColeraineColeraine | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 26 |
9 | LarneLarne | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 22 |
10 | Carrick RangersCarrick | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 19 |
11 | GlenavonGlenavon | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 19 |
12 | Loughgall | 20 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 20 | 48 | -28 | 13 |
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