Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 38.08%. A win for Linfield had a probability of 36.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Linfield win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.