Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 43.21%. A win for Linfield had a probability of 31.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Linfield win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.