Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 59.18%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 20.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.46%) and 0-1 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.3%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 2-1 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.