MX23RW : Saturday, October 5 21:32:43| >> :300:86500:86500:
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 8
Sep 16, 2023 at 3pm UK
Mourneview Park

Glenavon
2 - 1
Carrick

Prendergast (63'), Malone (81' pen.)
Wallace (45'), Snoddy (82'), Garrett (83'), Prendergast (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Purkis (75')
Crowe (12'), Watson (24'), Surgenor (80'), Glendinning (82')
Cherry (16')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Glenavon and Carrick Rangers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dungannon 3-1 Glenavon
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Carrick 0-1 Ballymena
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 67.56%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 13.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.79%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 0-1 (3.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glenavon would win this match.

Result
GlenavonDrawCarrick Rangers
67.56% (0.013999999999996 0.01) 18.69% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 13.75% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 52.7% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.28% (0.022999999999996 0.02)39.72% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.93% (0.024999999999999 0.02)62.07% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Glenavon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.19% (0.007000000000005 0.01)10.81% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.14% (0.021999999999991 0.02)34.86% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.09% (0.0039999999999978 0)40.9% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.53% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)77.47% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Glenavon 67.56%
    Carrick Rangers 13.75%
    Draw 18.69%
GlenavonDrawCarrick Rangers
2-0 @ 10.94%
1-0 @ 9.84% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.78% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 8.11% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-1 @ 7.25% (0.0029999999999992 0)
4-0 @ 4.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 4.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.24% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-0 @ 2.01% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 1.8% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.8% (0.002 0)
Other @ 4.24%
Total : 67.56%
1-1 @ 8.79% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 4.42% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 4.37%
3-3 @ 0.97% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 18.69%
0-1 @ 3.95% (-0.004 -0)
1-2 @ 3.93% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 1.77% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.3%
1-3 @ 1.17% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 13.75%

Head to Head
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Carrick
1-3
Glenavon
Macuilaitis (62')
Doyle (32'), Fitzpatrick (50'), Henderson (90+4')
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 26
Carrick
1-1
Glenavon
Birney (70' og.)
Wallace (88')
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 12
Glenavon
4-2
Carrick
Fitzpatrick (13'), Bradley (28'), Malone (82'), Snoddy (90+1')
Mitchell (15'), Anderson (49')
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 5
Glenavon
2-2
Carrick
Fitzpatrick (10'), McCloskey (23')
(11'), (50')
Garrett (59')
Mitchell (18'), Allen (64')
Ervin (55'), Cushley (66')
Apr 19, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Carrick
0-1
Glenavon

Surgenor (31'), Cushley (41'), Carson (81'), Glendinning (90')
O'Connor (88')
Wallace (47'), Campbell (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ballymena UnitedBallymena117041913621
2LinfieldLinfield106222081220
3Dungannon SwiftsDungannon10523138517
4GlentoranGlentoran11524119217
5CrusadersCrusaders9513118316
6LarneLarne742193614
7CliftonvilleCliftonville104241312114
8ColeraineColeraine103431414013
9GlenavonGlenavon113441014-413
10PortadownPortadown103341413112
11Carrick RangersCarrick10208921-126
12Loughgall111281030-205


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!