MX23RW : Saturday, November 23 02:46:13| >> :300:86500:86500:
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 8
Sep 16, 2023 at 3pm UK
Mourneview Park

Glenavon
2 - 1
Carrick

Prendergast (63'), Malone (81' pen.)
Wallace (45'), Snoddy (82'), Garrett (83'), Prendergast (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Purkis (75')
Crowe (12'), Watson (24'), Surgenor (80'), Glendinning (82')
Cherry (16')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Glenavon and Carrick Rangers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dungannon 3-1 Glenavon
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Carrick 0-1 Ballymena
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 67.56%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 13.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.79%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 0-1 (3.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glenavon would win this match.

Result
GlenavonDrawCarrick Rangers
67.56% (0.013999999999996 0.01) 18.69% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 13.75% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 52.7% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.28% (0.022999999999996 0.02)39.72% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.93% (0.024999999999999 0.02)62.07% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Glenavon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.19% (0.007000000000005 0.01)10.81% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.14% (0.021999999999991 0.02)34.86% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.09% (0.0039999999999978 0)40.9% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.53% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)77.47% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Glenavon 67.56%
    Carrick Rangers 13.75%
    Draw 18.69%
GlenavonDrawCarrick Rangers
2-0 @ 10.94%
1-0 @ 9.84% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.78% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 8.11% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-1 @ 7.25% (0.0029999999999992 0)
4-0 @ 4.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 4.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.24% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-0 @ 2.01% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 1.8% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.8% (0.002 0)
Other @ 4.24%
Total : 67.56%
1-1 @ 8.79% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 4.42% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 4.37%
3-3 @ 0.97% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 18.69%
0-1 @ 3.95% (-0.004 -0)
1-2 @ 3.93% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 1.77% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.3%
1-3 @ 1.17% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 13.75%

Head to Head
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Carrick
1-3
Glenavon
Macuilaitis (62')
Doyle (32'), Fitzpatrick (50'), Henderson (90+4')
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 26
Carrick
1-1
Glenavon
Birney (70' og.)
Wallace (88')
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 12
Glenavon
4-2
Carrick
Fitzpatrick (13'), Bradley (28'), Malone (82'), Snoddy (90+1')
Mitchell (15'), Anderson (49')
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 5
Glenavon
2-2
Carrick
Fitzpatrick (10'), McCloskey (23')
(11'), (50')
Garrett (59')
Mitchell (18'), Allen (64')
Ervin (55'), Cushley (66')
Apr 19, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Carrick
0-1
Glenavon

Surgenor (31'), Cushley (41'), Carson (81'), Glendinning (90')
O'Connor (88')
Wallace (47'), Campbell (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield17112433151835
2CliftonvilleCliftonville168352216627
3GlentoranGlentoran188371916327
4Ballymena UnitedBallymena179082120127
5Dungannon SwiftsDungannon178272321226
6ColeraineColeraine177462822625
7PortadownPortadown167452317625
8CrusadersCrusaders157261817123
9LarneLarne136341511421
10Carrick RangersCarrick164391828-1015
11GlenavonGlenavon173681124-1315
12Loughgall1732121842-2411


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