MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 17:33:13| >> :300:86500:86500:
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 25
Jan 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena

Carrick
0 - 2
Glenavon


McGuckin (65'), Cherry (90+3'), Crowe (90+4'), Glendinning (90+5')
Crowe (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Snoddy (45'), Campbell (70')
Wallace (59'), Snoddy (81')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Carrick Rangers and Glenavon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crusaders 2-0 Carrick
Saturday, December 30 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glenavon 0-1 Ballymena
Saturday, December 30 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 47.16%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 29.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.26%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 2-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glenavon would win this match.

Result
Carrick RangersDrawGlenavon
29.26% (5.29 5.29) 23.57% (1.337 1.34) 47.16% (-6.624 -6.62)
Both teams to score 60.11% (0.253 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.57% (-1.857 -1.86)41.43% (1.859 1.86)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.17% (-1.908 -1.91)63.83% (1.911 1.91)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.12% (2.918 2.92)26.88% (-2.915 -2.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.81% (3.681 3.68)62.19% (-3.679 -3.68)
Glenavon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.2% (-3.053 -3.05)17.8% (3.056 3.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.48% (-5.55 -5.55)48.52% (5.553 5.55)
Score Analysis
    Carrick Rangers 29.26%
    Glenavon 47.16%
    Draw 23.57%
Carrick RangersDrawGlenavon
2-1 @ 7.13% (0.962 0.96)
1-0 @ 6.29% (0.967 0.97)
2-0 @ 4.13% (0.909 0.91)
3-1 @ 3.12% (0.634 0.63)
3-2 @ 2.69% (0.312 0.31)
3-0 @ 1.81% (0.509 0.51)
4-1 @ 1.03% (0.272 0.27)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 29.26%
1-1 @ 10.84% (0.66 0.66)
2-2 @ 6.15% (0.25 0.25)
0-0 @ 4.78% (0.391 0.39)
3-3 @ 1.55% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.57%
1-2 @ 9.36% (-0.383 -0.38)
0-1 @ 8.26% (-0.152 -0.15)
0-2 @ 7.13% (-0.922 -0.92)
1-3 @ 5.39% (-0.833 -0.83)
0-3 @ 4.1% (-1.036 -1.04)
2-3 @ 3.54% (-0.227 -0.23)
1-4 @ 2.33% (-0.652 -0.65)
0-4 @ 1.77% (-0.689 -0.69)
2-4 @ 1.53% (-0.275 -0.28)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 47.16%

Head to Head
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Carrick
1-3
Glenavon
Allen (38')
Forsythe (18'), Cushley (42')
Crowe (72')
Campbell (25', 42'), Quinn (67')
Rogers (19'), Baird (29'), Wallace (45'), Campbell (90')
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Glenavon
2-1
Carrick
Prendergast (63'), Malone (81' pen.)
Wallace (45'), Snoddy (82'), Garrett (83'), Prendergast (90+1')
Purkis (75')
Crowe (12'), Watson (24'), Surgenor (80'), Glendinning (82')
Cherry (16')
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Carrick
1-3
Glenavon
Macuilaitis (62')
Doyle (32'), Fitzpatrick (50'), Henderson (90+4')
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 26
Carrick
1-1
Glenavon
Birney (70' og.)
Wallace (88')
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 12
Glenavon
4-2
Carrick
Fitzpatrick (13'), Bradley (28'), Malone (82'), Snoddy (90+1')
Mitchell (15'), Anderson (49')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield20142439162344
2Dungannon SwiftsDungannon2110382724333
3PortadownPortadown199462719831
4CliftonvilleCliftonville199462719831
5GlentoranGlentoran209472419531
6Ballymena UnitedBallymena1990102223-127
7CrusadersCrusaders198382426-227
8ColeraineColeraine207583230226
9LarneLarne146441612422
10Carrick RangersCarrick1954102030-1019
11GlenavonGlenavon204791729-1219
12Loughgall2034132048-2813


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