MX23RW : Sunday, October 6 16:46:42| >> :300:86500:86500:
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 14
Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena

Carrick
1 - 3
Glenavon

Allen (38')
Forsythe (18'), Cushley (42')
Crowe (72')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Campbell (25', 42'), Quinn (67')
Rogers (19'), Baird (29'), Wallace (45'), Campbell (90')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Carrick Rangers and Glenavon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Larne 2-0 Carrick
Friday, October 20 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glentoran 3-1 Glenavon
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrick Rangers win with a probability of 52%. A win for Glenavon had a probability of 25.37% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carrick Rangers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Glenavon win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
Carrick RangersDrawGlenavon
52% (-1.685 -1.69) 22.62% (0.357 0.36) 25.37% (1.326 1.33)
Both teams to score 60.09% (0.246 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.03% (-0.341 -0.34)39.96% (0.337 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.67% (-0.353 -0.35)62.32% (0.35 0.35)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.52% (-0.68799999999999 -0.69)15.48% (0.684 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.64% (-1.296 -1.3)44.36% (1.293 1.29)
Glenavon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.1% (0.86199999999999 0.86)28.9% (-0.865 -0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.22% (1.06 1.06)64.77% (-1.065 -1.07)
Score Analysis
    Carrick Rangers 52%
    Glenavon 25.37%
    Draw 22.61%
Carrick RangersDrawGlenavon
2-1 @ 9.66% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
1-0 @ 8.35% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
2-0 @ 7.79% (-0.254 -0.25)
3-1 @ 6.01% (-0.197 -0.2)
3-0 @ 4.84% (-0.28 -0.28)
3-2 @ 3.73% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.8% (-0.161 -0.16)
4-0 @ 2.26% (-0.189 -0.19)
4-2 @ 1.74% (-0.057 -0.06)
5-1 @ 1.05% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 52%
1-1 @ 10.35% (0.16 0.16)
2-2 @ 6% (0.095 0.09)
0-0 @ 4.47% (0.07 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.54% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.61%
1-2 @ 6.43% (0.251 0.25)
0-1 @ 5.55% (0.216 0.22)
0-2 @ 3.45% (0.213 0.21)
1-3 @ 2.66% (0.165 0.17)
2-3 @ 2.48% (0.097 0.1)
0-3 @ 1.43% (0.12 0.12)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 25.37%

Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Glenavon
2-1
Carrick
Prendergast (63'), Malone (81' pen.)
Wallace (45'), Snoddy (82'), Garrett (83'), Prendergast (90+1')
Purkis (75')
Crowe (12'), Watson (24'), Surgenor (80'), Glendinning (82')
Cherry (16')
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Carrick
1-3
Glenavon
Macuilaitis (62')
Doyle (32'), Fitzpatrick (50'), Henderson (90+4')
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 26
Carrick
1-1
Glenavon
Birney (70' og.)
Wallace (88')
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 12
Glenavon
4-2
Carrick
Fitzpatrick (13'), Bradley (28'), Malone (82'), Snoddy (90+1')
Mitchell (15'), Anderson (49')
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 5
Glenavon
2-2
Carrick
Fitzpatrick (10'), McCloskey (23')
(11'), (50')
Garrett (59')
Mitchell (18'), Allen (64')
Ervin (55'), Cushley (66')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ballymena UnitedBallymena117041913621
2LinfieldLinfield106222081220
3Dungannon SwiftsDungannon11623168820
4GlentoranGlentoran11524119217
5CrusadersCrusaders9513118316
6LarneLarne842296314
7CliftonvilleCliftonville104241312114
8ColeraineColeraine103431414013
9GlenavonGlenavon113441014-413
10PortadownPortadown103341413112
11Carrick RangersCarrick10208921-126
12Loughgall111281030-205


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