NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 10

Oct 8, 2022 at 3pm UK

Mourneview Park

Glenavon
5 - 0
Dungannon

McCloskey (50'), Bradley (54'), Baird (61'), Fitzpatrick (67'), Prendergast (82')
Wallace (20'), Campbell (29')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Breen (22'), Shiels (27'), Coyle (27'), McGinty (44'), McGee (49'), Knowles (71')

Data Analysis

Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Glenavon and Dungannon Swifts.

Form, Standings, Stats

Glenavon

All competitions

Last Game: Portadown 1-1 Glenavon
Friday, September 30 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Goals
for

Dungannon Swifts

All competitions

Last Game: Dungannon 0-1 Linfield
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 49.67%. A win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 26.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Dungannon Swifts win was 1-2 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glenavon would win this match.

Result
Glenavon	Draw	Dungannon Swifts
49.67% ( 0.13)	23.71% ( 0.07)	26.61% ( -0.2)

Both teams to score 57.51% (

-0.41)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.08% (

-0.46)

43.92% (

0.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.69% (

-0.45)

66.3% (

0.45)

Glenavon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.21% (

-0.13)

17.78% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.5% (

-0.22)

48.49% (

0.22)

Dungannon Swifts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.95% (

-0.39)

30.04% (

0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.82% (

-0.47)

66.17% (

0.47)

Score Analysis

Glenavon 49.67%

Dungannon Swifts 26.61%

Draw 23.71%

Glenavon	Draw	Dungannon Swifts
2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.23% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 7.97% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 5.52% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.59% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.69% Total : 49.67%	1-1 @ 11.09% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.71%	1-2 @ 6.67% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.42% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 3.86% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.12% Total : 26.61%