MX23RW : Wednesday, March 12 06:22:45| >> :300:86500:86500:
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 13
Oct 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Lakeview Park

Loughgall
3 - 1
Newry City AFC

Magee (48', 65', 90+2')
Kelly (76'), Boyd (83'), Loughran (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Salley (52')
Forde (31'), Salley (36'), Maguire (72'), Poynton (76'), McKeown (83'), Poynton (83')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Loughgall and Newry City AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Glentoran 6-0 Loughgall
Friday, October 13 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Newry City AFC 0-2 Coleraine
Friday, October 13 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Loughgall win with a probability of 53.81%. A win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 24.39% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Loughgall win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.71%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Newry City AFC win was 1-2 (6.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Loughgall would win this match.

Result
LoughgallDrawNewry City AFC
53.81% (0.37 0.37) 21.81% (-0.101 -0.1) 24.39% (-0.268 -0.27)
Both teams to score 61.9% (0.055000000000007 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.91% (0.209 0.21)37.09% (-0.208 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.71% (0.22600000000001 0.23)59.29% (-0.225 -0.23)
Loughgall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.12% (0.188 0.19)13.88% (-0.188 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.71% (0.372 0.37)41.29% (-0.372 -0.37)
Newry City AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.89% (-0.092999999999989 -0.09)28.12% (0.093999999999998 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.21% (-0.119 -0.12)63.79% (0.122 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Loughgall 53.81%
    Newry City AFC 24.39%
    Draw 21.81%
LoughgallDrawNewry City AFC
2-1 @ 9.65% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.71% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.61% (0.027 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.35% (0.049 0.05)
3-0 @ 5.01% (0.052 0.05)
3-2 @ 4.03% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.14% (0.046 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.47% (0.042 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.99% (0.024 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.24% (0.027 0.03)
5-0 @ 0.98% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 53.81%
1-1 @ 9.78% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-2 @ 6.13% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.9% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.71% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 21.81%
1-2 @ 6.2% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-1 @ 4.95% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-2 @ 3.14% (-0.049 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.62% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.59% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.33% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 24.39%

Head to Head
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Newry City AFC
0-3
Loughgall

King (2'), Lockhart (15')
Lockhart (90+2')
Loughran (10', 26'), Ferris (23' pen.)
Ferris (17'), Loughran (60'), Hoey (62'), Murdock (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield31224556233370
2LarneLarne30157837251252
3GlentoranGlentoran29156835251051
4Dungannon SwiftsDungannon30144124136546
5CrusadersCrusaders31144133942-346
6PortadownPortadown31136123836245
7ColeraineColeraine30128104538744
8CliftonvilleCliftonville29126113932742
9Ballymena UnitedBallymena31124153840-240
10GlenavonGlenavon30108123237-538
11Carrick RangersCarrick3158182447-2323
12Loughgall3135232669-4314


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