MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 13:45:12| >> :120:40340:40340:
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Nottingham Forest logo
Championship | Gameweek 37
Mar 17, 2021 at 7pm UK
The City Ground
Norwich logo

Nott'm Forest
0 - 2
Norwich

FT(HT: 0-2)
Pukki (9'), Dowell (13')
Skipp (48')

Preview: Nottingham Forest vs. Norwich City - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Nottingham Forest and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Norwich City will be looking to extend their winning run and tighten their grip on top spot in the Championship when they travel to Nottingham Forest on Wednesday evening.

The Canaries have won eight games in a row and are 10 points clear of third place, while Forest are winless in four and are still not assured of safety in 17th place.


Match preview

Norwich City's Teemu Pukki celebrates scoring their second goal with teammates on March 6, 2021© Reuters

Promotion back to the Premier League at the first attempt has looked a formality for a number of weeks now, but Norwich boss Daniel Farke insists that it is still a case of taking it one game at a time.

The Canaries were made to work hard for the latest of their victories as they recovered from a goal down to beat strugglers Sheffield Wednesday 2-1 at Hillsborough on Sunday.

Teemu Pukki scored his 21st league goal of the campaign and Todd Cantwell netted the winner after Jordan Rhodes had earlier opened the scoring for Wednesday.

Norwich have not dropped a single point since the first week of February and are now 10 points in front of Swansea City, the last team to stop them from winning, having played a game more than the side in third.

With that latest triumph, City are the first Championship side to win 24 of their first 36 games since Newcastle United in 2016-17. Each of the last five sides to do so since the turn of the millennium has gone on to win the league.

Nottingham Forest's Glenn Murray celebrates scoring their first goal on March 13, 2021© Reuters

Forest's hopes of bringing an end to their winless run in midweek look slim on the face of it, then, particularly when considering that they have lost each of their last three home league encounters with the Canaries.

Chris Hughton's men earned a 1-1 draw against playoff-chasing Reading at the weekend, though it was a disappointing outcome on reflection as Yakou Meite struck in the final 10 minutes to cancel out Tom Holmes's own goal.

It did at least bring an end to back-to-back losses without scoring - against Luton Town and Watford - and leaves the Reds nine points above the relegation zone.

That may seem like a comfortable buffer at this stage in the campaign, but 22nd-placed Rotherham United have four games in hand to play.

Wins are still needed for Forest, then - something they have achieved once in their last six games at the City Ground, with only seven goals scored for and against across those games.

Nottingham Forest Championship form:
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • D

Norwich City Championship form:
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W


Team News

Norwich City's Teemu Pukki celebrates scoring their first goal on February 20, 2021© Reuters

Joe Lolley sustained a hamstring injury against Reading to join Harry Arter and Joe Worrall on the sidelines.

Anthony Knockaert is the most likely option to come into Forest's starting lineup, with Glenn Murray again leading the line.

Lewis Grabban and Luke Freeman will also be pushing for inclusion, though Hughton is unlikely to make any more changes from the draw with Reading.

As for Norwich, Sam Byram and Michael McGovern are their only confirmed injury absentees for this trip to the East Midlands.

Farke may be tempted to make a change or two, which could see Kieran Dowell come in for Lukas Rupp in attacking midfield.

Pukki seems certain to start up top as he looks to add to his 21 league strikes this term, which is still five short of the division's leading marksman Ivan Toney.

Nottingham Forest possible starting lineup:
Samba; Christie, McKenna, Figueiredo, Bong; Garner, Cafu; Knockaert, Krovinovic, Ameobi; Murray

Norwich City possible starting lineup:
Krul; Aarons, Hanley, Gibson, Giannoulis; McLean, Skipp; Buendia, Dowell, Cantwell; Pukki


SM words green background

We say: Nottingham Forest 0-2 Norwich City

Norwich are in superb form and are close to sealing a return to the top flight after a one-year absence.

Forest are still in need of points if they are to avoid relegation, but it is difficult to see them picking up a first victory in five on Wednesday.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



ID:439293:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect9410:
Written by
Daniel Lewis

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 52.69%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 21.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.27%) and 1-2 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 1-0 (7.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Nott'm Forest vs Norwich

Nottingham Forest
13.4%
Draw
12.8%
Norwich City
73.8%
187
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City168352823527
6Bournemouth167452421325
7Aston Villa167452425-125
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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