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Women's European Championship | Semi-Finals
Jul 27, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stadium mk
France national football team

Germany Women
2 - 1
France Women

Popp (40', 76')
Gwinn (74'), Oberdorf (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Frohms (44' og.)
Toletti (21'), Bacha (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Women's European Championship clash between Germany Women and France Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Six:
Last Game: Germany Women 2-0 Austria Women
Thursday, July 21 at 8pm in Women's European Championship
Last Six:
Last Game: France Women 1-0 N'lands Women
Saturday, July 23 at 8pm in Women's European Championship

We said: Germany Women 2-1 France Women

Germany have been in fine form across all areas of the pitch throughout the tournament, and we expect the record European Championship winners to draw upon their historic success at the tournament to edge out France on Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany Women win with a probability of 50.39%. A win for France Women had a probability of 28.89% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.23%) and 2-0 (5.41%). The likeliest France Women win was 1-2 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Germany Women in this match.

Result
Germany WomenDrawFrance Women
50.39% (-0.026999999999994 -0.03) 20.71% (0.0019999999999989 0) 28.89% (0.029 0.03)
Both teams to score 70.6% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.38% (0.021999999999991 0.02)27.62% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.73% (0.027000000000001 0.03)48.27% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Germany Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.36% (0.00099999999999056 0)11.64% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.33% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)36.67% (0.0049999999999955 0)
France Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.9% (0.028000000000006 0.03)20.1% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.65% (0.045000000000002 0.05)52.35% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Germany Women 50.39%
    France Women 28.9%
    Draw 20.71%
Germany WomenDrawFrance Women
2-1 @ 8.68% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 6.23% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-0 @ 5.41% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-0 @ 5.03% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.99% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 3.88% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 3.35% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 2.69% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.44% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-3 @ 1.44% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-2 @ 1.16%
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 50.39%
1-1 @ 8.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 6.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 2.67% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-0 @ 2.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 20.71%
1-2 @ 6.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 3.75% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 3.73% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 3.46% (0.004 0)
0-2 @ 3.01% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 1.61% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1.49% (0.0029999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-4 @ 1.07% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 28.9%

How you voted: Germany Women vs France Women

Germany Women
65.0%
Draw
13.1%
France Women
21.9%
137
Head to Head
Jun 26, 2015 9pm
Germany Women
1-1
France Women
Germany Women win 5-4 on penalties
Sasic (84' pen.)
Mittag (37'), Marozsan (68'), Goessling (68'), Leupolz (91')
Necib (64')
Delie (55'), Georges (57')
rhs 2.0
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