MX23RW : Sunday, November 17 17:23:43| >> :300:86500:86500:
Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 9
Sep 23, 2023 at 7pm UK
INEA stadion

Lech Poznan
2 - 1
Stal Mielec

Velde (37'), Marchwinski (40')
Velde (44')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Domanski (23')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Lech Poznan and Stal Mielec.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Warta Poznan 0-2 Lech Poznan
Sunday, September 17 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Stal Mielec 4-2 Zaglebie Lubin
Monday, September 18 at 6pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 64.44%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 15.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.32%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for a Stal Mielec win it was 0-1 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.

Result
Lech PoznanDrawStal Mielec
64.44% (0.0010000000000048 0) 20.48% (0.0019999999999989 0) 15.08% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Both teams to score 50.06% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.02% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)44.98% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.66% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)67.34% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Lech Poznan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.78%13.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.03% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)39.97% (0.0059999999999931 0.01)
Stal Mielec Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.68% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)42.32% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.29% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)78.71% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Lech Poznan 64.44%
    Stal Mielec 15.08%
    Draw 20.48%
Lech PoznanDrawStal Mielec
2-0 @ 11.45%
1-0 @ 11.32% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.85%
3-0 @ 7.72%
3-1 @ 6.64% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 3.91%
4-1 @ 3.36% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.86% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
5-0 @ 1.58%
4-2 @ 1.45%
5-1 @ 1.36%
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 64.44%
1-1 @ 9.74% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-0 @ 5.6% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 4.24% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 20.48%
0-1 @ 4.81% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 4.19%
0-2 @ 2.07%
2-3 @ 1.21% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.2% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 15.08%

rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Lech Poznan15111330121834
2Jagiellonia BialystokJagiellonia1510232821732
3Rakow CzestochowaRakow159421961331
4KS CracoviaCracovia159243324929
5Legia WarsawLegia157442819925
6Pogon SzczecinSzczecin157172120122
7Widzew Lodz156452019122
8Gornik ZabrzeGornik156361917221
9Motor Lublin156362227-521
10Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice155551817120
11Katowice155462422219
12Zaglebie Lubin155371421-718
13Radomiak Radom145181921-216
14Korona Kielce154471222-1016
15Stal Mielec154381419-515
16Lechia GdanskGdansk152581728-1111
17Puszcza Niepolomice152581325-1211
18Slask Wroclaw141671122-119


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