Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Lech Poznan and Gornik Zabrze.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Slask Wroclaw 3-1 Lech Poznan
Sunday, August 20 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Sunday, August 20 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Jagiellonia 4-1 Gornik
Sunday, August 27 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Sunday, August 27 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 58.24%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Gornik Zabrze had a probability of 19.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Gornik Zabrze win it was 0-1 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lech Poznan | Draw | Gornik Zabrze |
58.24% ( -0.02) | 22.03% ( 0) | 19.73% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 54.43% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.1% ( 0.01) | 43.9% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.71% ( 0.01) | 66.29% ( -0.01) |
Lech Poznan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.22% ( -0) | 14.78% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.97% ( -0.01) | 43.03% ( 0.01) |
Gornik Zabrze Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.87% ( 0.03) | 36.13% ( -0.03) |