Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 2

Jul 30, 2023 at 4.30pm UK

INEA stadion

Lech Poznan
2 - 0
Radomiak Radom

Ishak (40'), Szymczak (83')
van den Brom (0'), Murawski (25'), Andersson (56'), Velde (57'), Douglas (82')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Machado (25'), Jakubik (53')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Lech Poznan and Radomiak Radom.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lech Poznan

All competitions

Last Game: Lech Poznan 3-1 Kauno Zalgiris
Thursday, July 27 at 7.30pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Radomiak Radom

All competitions

Last Game: Gornik 0-2 Radomiak Radom
Sunday, July 23 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 49.3%. A win for Radomiak Radom had a probability of 25.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Radomiak Radom win was 0-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.

Result
Lech Poznan	Draw	Radomiak Radom
49.3% ( 0.27)	25.15% ( 0.04)	25.54% ( -0.32)

Both teams to score 51.88% (

-0.41)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.1% (

-0.4)

50.89% (

0.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.22% (

-0.35)

72.77% (

0.35)

Lech Poznan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.34% (

-0.05)

20.66% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.76% (

-0.07)

53.23% (

0.07)

Radomiak Radom Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.38% (

-0.48)

34.61% (

0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.66% (

-0.51)

71.34% (

0.51)

Score Analysis

Lech Poznan 49.3%

Radomiak Radom 25.54%

Draw 25.15%

Lech Poznan	Draw	Radomiak Radom
1-0 @ 11.27% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 9.43% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.89% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 4.96% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.96% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.84% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.6% Total : 49.3%	1-1 @ 11.96% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.15% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.15%	0-1 @ 7.59% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.35% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.15% Total : 25.54%