Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland Under-21s win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for Stoke City Under-21s had a probability of 36.83% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.23%) and 0-2 (5.26%). The likeliest Stoke City Under-21s win was 2-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland Under-21s would win this match.