Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-23s win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for Nottingham Forest Under-23s had a probability of 35.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.62%) and 2-0 (5.62%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-23s would win this match.