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Championship | Gameweek 17
Nov 26, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Vicarage Road
Bristol City

Watford
1 - 0
Bristol City

Andrews (54')
Sierralta (46'), Issouf Bayo (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Twine (72'), Pring (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Watford and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Plymouth 2-2 Watford
Friday, November 22 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 0-1 Burnley
Saturday, November 23 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Watford 2-1 Bristol City

Both sides have made strong starts to the 2024-25 season, but the hosts have been formidable at home, yet to lose any of their seven league games, and we believe the hosts will extend that run with a win here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 44.87%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Watford in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Watford.

Result
WatfordDrawBristol City
44.87% (-0.083000000000006 -0.08) 26.53% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 28.6% (0.093 0.09)
Both teams to score 50.02% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.57% (0.088000000000001 0.09)54.43% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.2% (0.074000000000002 0.07)75.8% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.84% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)24.16% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.52% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)58.48% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.95% (0.117 0.12)34.04% (-0.122 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.27% (0.128 0.13)70.73% (-0.131 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Watford 44.86%
    Bristol City 28.6%
    Draw 26.52%
WatfordDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 11.68% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 8.3% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.23% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.93% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.28% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.5%
4-0 @ 1.4% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 44.86%
1-1 @ 12.58% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.23% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.82% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 26.52%
0-1 @ 8.86% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-2 @ 6.78% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.77% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.44% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.73% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.72% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 28.6%

How you voted: Watford vs Bristol City

Watford
75.4%
Draw
8.2%
Bristol City
16.4%
61
Head to Head
Jan 20, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 28
Bristol City
1-1
Watford
Twine (25')
McCrorie (36')
Dele-Bashiru (13' pen.)
Asprilla (14'), Andrews (40')
Dec 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 24
Watford
1-4
Bristol City
Chakvetadze (49')
Hoedt (80')
Pring (28'), Hoedt (45+2' og.), Sykes (50'), Weimann (83')
Apr 15, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 42
Watford
2-0
Bristol City
Cornick (6' og.), Pedro (54')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Feb 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 29
Watford
6-0
Bristol City
Moore (2' og.), Sarr (15', 55'), Hughes (30'), Sema (35'), Zinckernagel (90')
Chalobah (17'), Pedro (81')

Moore (7'), Diedhiou (47'), Palmer (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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