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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 49.2%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 26.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 0-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Stoke City | Draw | Preston North End |
49.2% ( -0.53) | 24.46% ( 0.04) | 26.34% ( 0.5) |
Both teams to score 54.79% ( 0.35) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.59% ( 0.24) | 47.41% ( -0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.37% ( 0.22) | 69.63% ( -0.22) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.69% ( -0.12) | 19.32% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.93% ( -0.19) | 51.08% ( 0.2) |
Preston North End Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.9% ( 0.53) | 32.1% ( -0.53) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.43% ( 0.6) | 68.58% ( -0.59) |
Score Analysis |
Stoke City | Draw | Preston North End |
1-0 @ 10.19% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.38% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 5.22% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 4.59% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.89% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.07% Total : 49.2% | 1-1 @ 11.58% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.2% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.41% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.46% | 0-1 @ 7.05% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.58% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 4% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.65% Total : 26.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 42 |
3 | Burnley | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 41 |
4 | Sunderland | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 40 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 34 |
7 | Watford | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 34 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 32 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 29 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 27 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 25 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 24 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 22 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 18 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Portsmouth | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 42 | -23 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 16 |
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