EFL Cup | Fourth Round
Oct 1, 2020 at 7pm UK
Villa Park
Aston Villa0 - 1Stoke
The Match
Match Report
Sam Vokes struck in the first half to send Stoke through at Villa Park
Team News
Tom Heaton and Wesley continue to recover from their long-term knee injuries.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's EFL Cup fourth round tie between Aston Villa and Stoke City, including team news and predicted lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 38.9%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 34.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-0 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Stoke City in this match.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa | Draw | Stoke City |
| 34.75% | 26.35% | 38.9% |
| Both teams to score 52.91% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
