Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 33

May 10, 2022 at 8pm UK

Villa Park

Aston Villa
1 - 2
Liverpool

Luiz (3')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Matip (6'), Mane (65')

Aston Villa boss Steven Gerrard left frustrated with Liverpool defeat

Manager Steven Gerrard says that he had been left feeling "frustrated" after witnessing his Aston Villa side push Liverpool during a 2-1 defeat on Tuesday evening.

May 10, 22:55

Liverpool manager Jurgen Klopp with Fabinho as he is substituted on May 10, 2022

Liverpool suffer Fabinho injury blow ahead of FA Cup final

Liverpool midfielder Fabinho suffers an apparent hamstring injury against Aston Villa, just four days ahead of the FA Cup final.

May 10, 20:39

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

Last Six:

Last Game: Man City 3-2 Aston Villa
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
13	Brentford	38	-8	46
14	Aston Villa	38	-2	45
15	Southampton	38	-24	40

Liverpool

Last Six:

Last Game: Liverpool 0-1 Real Madrid
Saturday, May 28 at 8.36pm in Champions League

Next Game: Liverpool vs. Man City
Saturday, July 30 at 5pm in Community Shield

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Manchester City	38	73	93
2	Liverpool	38	68	92
3	Chelsea	38	43	74

We said: Aston Villa 1-2 Liverpool

Villa need no lessons in carving their way through the Liverpool high line, and the Lions' recent upturn in form and numerous ex-Reds aiming to get one over their former club could make this a banana skin for Klopp's side. The Reds boss is likely to tinker with his side ahead of the weekend's FA Cup final but will be aware that any more dropped points effectively ends their Premier League title hopes, and we have faith in Liverpool to eke out a narrow win against a Villa side whose defence is still far from watertight. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 68.58%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 13.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-1 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.13%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 2-1 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Liverpool in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Liverpool.

Result
Aston Villa	Draw	Liverpool
13.71% ( -0.06)	17.71% ( 0)	68.58% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 56.26% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.91% (

-0.16)

35.09% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.91% (

-0.18)

57.1% (

0.18)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.03% (

-0.19)

37.97% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.26% (

-0.19)

74.74% (

0.19)

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.7% (

-0.03)

9.31% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.6% (

-0.07)

31.41% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Aston Villa 13.71%

Liverpool 68.58%

Draw 17.71%

Aston Villa	Draw	Liverpool
2-1 @ 3.93% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 1.66% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.92% Total : 13.71%	1-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 17.71%	0-2 @ 9.96% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 9.65% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 7.89% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 7.64% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 4.68% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 4.53% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.7% ( -0.02) 0-5 @ 2.22% ( 0) 2-4 @ 2.2% ( -0.02) 1-5 @ 2.15% ( -0.01) 2-5 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.53% Total : 68.58%