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Premier League | Gameweek 37
May 15, 2022 at 2pm UK
Villa Park
Crystal Palace logo

Aston Villa
1 - 1
Crystal Palace

Watkins (69')
Mings (9')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Schlupp (81')
Gallagher (14'), Edouard (76'), Kouyate (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Crystal Palace, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man City 3-2 Aston Villa
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

We said: Aston Villa 1-1 Crystal Palace

Palace will enter this match full of confidence, but Villa had also been on a strong run before the setback against Liverpool. There is not an awful lot between the two teams, demonstrated by the league table, and we can see the pair playing out a low-scoring draw on Sunday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 43.05%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 31.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Aston VillaDrawCrystal Palace
43.05% (0.756 0.76) 25.89% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07) 31.06% (-0.691 -0.69)
Both teams to score 53.29% (-0.067 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.19% (0.045999999999999 0.05)50.81% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.3% (0.039999999999999 0.04)72.7% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.54% (0.39099999999999 0.39)23.46% (-0.395 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.53% (0.565 0.57)57.47% (-0.569 -0.57)
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.62% (-0.44800000000001 -0.45)30.38% (0.443 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.43% (-0.534 -0.53)66.57% (0.532 0.53)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 43.05%
    Crystal Palace 31.06%
    Draw 25.89%
Aston VillaDrawCrystal Palace
1-0 @ 10.33% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 8.93% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
2-0 @ 7.49% (0.157 0.16)
3-1 @ 4.31% (0.087 0.09)
3-0 @ 3.62% (0.116 0.12)
3-2 @ 2.57% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.05 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.31% (0.057 0.06)
4-2 @ 0.93% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 43.05%
1-1 @ 12.31% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.13% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.32% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.89%
0-1 @ 8.49% (-0.122 -0.12)
1-2 @ 7.33% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-2 @ 5.06% (-0.136 -0.14)
1-3 @ 2.91% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.11% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.01% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 31.06%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace

Aston Villa
58.5%
Draw
27.2%
Crystal Palace
14.3%
147
Head to Head
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Crystal Palace
1-2
Aston Villa
Guehi (90+5')
Zaha (29'), Ward (44'), Milivojevic (56')
Targett (15'), McGinn (86')
Cash (29'), Nakamba (54'), Luiz (74')
May 16, 2021 12pm
Crystal Palace
3-2
Aston Villa
Benteke (32'), Zaha (75'), Mitchell (84')
Ward (73'), Kouyate (82'), Zaha (90+2')
McGinn (17'), El Ghazi (34')
McGinn (50'), Hause (86')
Dec 26, 2020 3pm
Aston Villa
3-0
Crystal Palace
Traore (5'), Hause (66'), El Ghazi (76')
Mings (39'), Grealish (45+1')
Mings (45')

Zaha (39'), Milivojevic (56'), Ward (68'), Eze (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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