Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
13 | Brentford | 38 | -8 | 46 |
14 | Aston Villa | 38 | -2 | 45 |
15 | Southampton | 38 | -24 | 40 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
11 | Newcastle United | 38 | -18 | 49 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 4 | 48 |
13 | Brentford | 38 | -8 | 46 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 43.05%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 31.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Aston Villa | Draw | Crystal Palace |
43.05% ( 0.76) | 25.89% ( -0.07) | 31.06% ( -0.69) |
Both teams to score 53.29% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.19% ( 0.05) | 50.81% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.3% ( 0.04) | 72.7% ( -0.04) |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.54% ( 0.39) | 23.46% ( -0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.53% ( 0.57) | 57.47% ( -0.57) |
Crystal Palace Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.62% ( -0.45) | 30.38% ( 0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.43% ( -0.53) | 66.57% ( 0.53) |
Score Analysis |
Aston Villa | Draw | Crystal Palace |
1-0 @ 10.33% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 7.49% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 4.31% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.99% Total : 43.05% | 1-1 @ 12.31% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.89% | 0-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 7.33% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.14% Total : 31.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 36 |
2 | Chelsea | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 34 |
3 | Arsenal | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 33 |
4 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 31 |
5 | Aston Villa | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 28 |
6 | Manchester CityMan City | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 27 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 26 |
8 | Bournemouth | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 25 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 25 |
10 | Fulham | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 24 |
11 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 23 |
12 | Brentford | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 23 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 20 |
15 | Crystal Palace | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 16 |
16 | Everton | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 15 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 14 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 12 |
19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 9 |
20 | Southampton | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 36 | -25 | 5 |
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