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Premier League | Gameweek 37
May 15, 2022 at 2pm UK
Villa Park
Crystal Palace logo

Aston Villa
1 - 1
Crystal Palace

Watkins (69')
Mings (9')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Schlupp (81')
Gallagher (14'), Edouard (76'), Kouyate (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Crystal Palace, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man City 3-2 Aston Villa
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

We said: Aston Villa 1-1 Crystal Palace

Palace will enter this match full of confidence, but Villa had also been on a strong run before the setback against Liverpool. There is not an awful lot between the two teams, demonstrated by the league table, and we can see the pair playing out a low-scoring draw on Sunday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 43.05%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 31.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Aston VillaDrawCrystal Palace
43.05% (0.756 0.76) 25.89% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07) 31.06% (-0.691 -0.69)
Both teams to score 53.29% (-0.067 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.19% (0.045999999999999 0.05)50.81% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.3% (0.039999999999999 0.04)72.7% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.54% (0.39099999999999 0.39)23.46% (-0.395 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.53% (0.565 0.57)57.47% (-0.569 -0.57)
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.62% (-0.44800000000001 -0.45)30.38% (0.443 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.43% (-0.534 -0.53)66.57% (0.532 0.53)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 43.05%
    Crystal Palace 31.06%
    Draw 25.89%
Aston VillaDrawCrystal Palace
1-0 @ 10.33% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 8.93% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
2-0 @ 7.49% (0.157 0.16)
3-1 @ 4.31% (0.087 0.09)
3-0 @ 3.62% (0.116 0.12)
3-2 @ 2.57% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.05 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.31% (0.057 0.06)
4-2 @ 0.93% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 43.05%
1-1 @ 12.31% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.13% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.32% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.89%
0-1 @ 8.49% (-0.122 -0.12)
1-2 @ 7.33% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-2 @ 5.06% (-0.136 -0.14)
1-3 @ 2.91% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.11% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.01% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 31.06%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace

Aston Villa
58.5%
Draw
27.2%
Crystal Palace
14.3%
147
Head to Head
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Crystal Palace
1-2
Aston Villa
Guehi (90+5')
Zaha (29'), Ward (44'), Milivojevic (56')
Targett (15'), McGinn (86')
Cash (29'), Nakamba (54'), Luiz (74')
May 16, 2021 12pm
Crystal Palace
3-2
Aston Villa
Benteke (32'), Zaha (75'), Mitchell (84')
Ward (73'), Kouyate (82'), Zaha (90+2')
McGinn (17'), El Ghazi (34')
McGinn (50'), Hause (86')
Dec 26, 2020 3pm
Aston Villa
3-0
Crystal Palace
Traore (5'), Hause (66'), El Ghazi (76')
Mings (39'), Grealish (45+1')
Mings (45')

Zaha (39'), Milivojevic (56'), Ward (68'), Eze (83')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Aston Villa178452626028
6Manchester CityMan City178362925427
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
8Bournemouth167452421325
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
10Fulham166642422224
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Crystal Palace173771826-816
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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