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The Match

Team News

Liverpool boss Jurgen Klopp makes three changes for the first leg of his side's Champions League semi-final with Villarreal at Anfield.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Liverpool and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Villarreal could line up for Wednesday's Champions League semi-final first leg with Liverpool.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Liverpool's latest injury and suspension news ahead of their Champions League semi-final first leg with Villarreal.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Liverpool 0-1 Real Madrid
Saturday, May 28 at 8.36pm in Champions League
Next Game: Liverpool vs. Man City
Saturday, July 30 at 5pm in Community Shield

We said: Liverpool 1-0 Villarreal

Juventus were thumped by Villarreal on their own turf. Bayern Munich failed to overcome Emery's side at the Allianz Arena. There is no reason for the travelling party to believe that another remarkable away win and joyous plane ride home is not on the cards. However, Gerard Moreno's goalscoring and playmaking qualities will be a huge miss for Villarreal at Anfield, and while we eventually expect Liverpool to break the Yellow Submarine's resistance and earn a first-leg advantage, they will surely have to be even more patient than they were against Everton. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 63.41%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Villarreal had a probability of 13.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.27%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.37%), while for a Villarreal win it was 0-1 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result
LiverpoolDrawVillarreal
63.41%23.45%13.14%
Both teams to score 37.27%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.26%59.74%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.96%80.04%
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.42%18.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.15%49.85%
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.77%54.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.59%87.41%
Score Analysis
    Liverpool 63.4%
    Villarreal 13.14%
    Draw 23.44%
LiverpoolDrawVillarreal
1-0 @ 16.95%
2-0 @ 14.27%
2-1 @ 8.73%
3-0 @ 8.01%
3-1 @ 4.9%
4-0 @ 3.37%
4-1 @ 2.06%
3-2 @ 1.5%
5-0 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 63.4%
1-1 @ 10.37%
0-0 @ 10.07%
2-2 @ 2.67%
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.44%
0-1 @ 6.17%
1-2 @ 3.18%
0-2 @ 1.89%
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 13.14%

How you voted: Liverpool vs Villarreal

Liverpool
78.3%
Draw
10.5%
Villarreal
11.2%
825
Head to Head
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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