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Premier League | Gameweek 24
Feb 11, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Villa Park
Manchester United logo

Aston Villa
1 - 2
Man Utd

Luiz (67')
Lenglet (45+4'), Cash (60'), Diaby (71')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hojlund (17'), McTominay (86')
Casemiro (37'), Mainoo (45+4')

The Match

Match Report

Scott McTominay powers home an 86th-minute header as Manchester United overcome Aston Villa 2-1 to close the gap on the Lions in the Premier League table.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Manchester United.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Manchester United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Manchester United could line up for Sunday's Premier League clash with Aston Villa.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Manchester United's latest injury and suspension news ahead of their Premier League clash with Aston Villa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 42.04%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 34.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.67%) and 2-0 (5.69%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 1-2 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.

Result
Aston VillaDrawManchester United
42.04% (0.039000000000001 0.04) 23.16% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 34.79% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)
Both teams to score 64.24% (-0.094000000000008 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.9% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)37.1% (0.116 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.7% (-0.128 -0.13)59.3% (0.128 0.13)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.86% (-0.030999999999992 -0.03)18.14% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.89% (-0.055 -0.05)49.11% (0.056000000000004 0.06)
Manchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.48% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)21.52% (0.084999999999997 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.42% (-0.13 -0.13)54.58% (0.131 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 42.04%
    Manchester United 34.79%
    Draw 23.16%
Aston VillaDrawManchester United
2-1 @ 8.74% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.67% (0.031 0.03)
2-0 @ 5.69% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.97%
3-2 @ 3.82% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.24% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.12% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.63% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.38% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 42.04%
1-1 @ 10.23% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.71% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.9% (0.022 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.96% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 23.16%
1-2 @ 7.86% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-1 @ 6% (0.019 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.61% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 4.03% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.44% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.36% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.55% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.32% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.91% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 34.79%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Man Utd

Aston Villa
33.5%
Draw
15.4%
Manchester United
51.0%
382
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 19
Man Utd
3-2
Aston Villa
Garnacho (59', 71'), Hojlund (82')
Fernandes (73')
McGinn (21'), Dendoncker (26')
Ramsey (45+2'), Carlos (74'), Konsa (87')
Apr 30, 2023 2pm
Nov 10, 2022 8pm
Third Round
Man Utd
4-2
Aston Villa
Martial (49'), Rashford (67'), Fernandes (78'), McTominay (90+1')
Watkins (48'), Dalot (61' og.)
Nov 6, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 15
Aston Villa
3-1
Man Utd
Bailey (7'), Digne (11'), Ramsey (49')
Ramsey (45' og.)
Jul 23, 2022 10.45am
Club Friendlies
Man Utd
2-2
Aston Villa
Sancho (25'), Cash (42' og.)
Chong (78'), Bailly (90+2')
Bailey (49'), Chambers (90+3')
Coutinho (13'), McGinn (51')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City168352823527
6Bournemouth167452421325
7Aston Villa167452425-125
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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