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FA Cup
Chelsea logo
FA Cup | Fourth Round
Jan 26, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stamford Bridge
Aston Villa logo

Chelsea
0 - 0
Aston Villa


Silva (9')
FT

Tielemans (46')

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Friday's FA Cup clash between Chelsea and Aston Villa.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's FA Cup clash between Chelsea and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Chelsea could line up for Friday's FA Cup fourth-round clash with Aston Villa.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Chelsea's latest injury and suspension news ahead of their FA Cup fourth-round clash with Aston Villa on Friday.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Chelsea 6-1 Middlesbrough
Tuesday, January 23 at 8pm in EFL Cup

Aston Villa

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Everton 0-0 Aston Villa
Sunday, January 14 at 2pm in Premier League

We said: Chelsea 2-1 Aston Villa

 There ought to be no repeat of Chelsea's six-star showing against Middlesbrough this Friday, as Pochettino's jelly-legged side square up to an Aston Villa crop with 11 days of rest under their belt, but attacking incisiveness has evaded the Lions in their last couple of contests. With the Blues also consigning their previous Stamford Bridge woes to the past and boasting competent options for change in all areas of the field, we have faith in the capital outfit to eke out another home victory and continue their bid for a pair of cup crowns. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 53.5%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 24.32% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.19%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-2 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
ChelseaDrawAston Villa
53.5% (0.126 0.13) 22.18% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05) 24.32% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
Both teams to score 60.5% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.09% (0.145 0.15)38.91% (-0.143 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.77% (0.15300000000001 0.15)61.23% (-0.15 -0.15)
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.39% (0.094999999999999 0.09)14.61% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.3% (0.177 0.18)42.7% (-0.177 -0.18)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.84% (0.016000000000005 0.02)29.16% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.91% (0.021000000000001 0.02)65.09% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Chelsea 53.51%
    Aston Villa 24.32%
    Draw 22.17%
ChelseaDrawAston Villa
2-1 @ 9.71% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-0 @ 8.19% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.88% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 6.23% (0.021 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.05% (0.015 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.84% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 3% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.43% (0.015 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.85% (0.013 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.15% (0.011 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.94% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 53.51%
1-1 @ 10.09% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 4.26% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.58% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 22.17%
1-2 @ 6.22% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.25% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.23% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.56% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.46% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 1.33% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 24.32%

How you voted: Chelsea vs Aston Villa

Chelsea
61.5%
Draw
12.0%
Aston Villa
26.4%
299
Head to Head
Sep 24, 2023 2pm
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0-1
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> Match Report
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> Match Report
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> Match Report
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> Preview
Dec 26, 2021 5.30pm
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> Preview
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