Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Aston Villa win with a probability of 50.2%. A win for Southampton has a probability of 27.44% and a draw has a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.35%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Southampton win is 1-2 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.95%).