Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 53.89%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 25.15% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.71%) and 3-1 (6.56%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.