Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 46.34%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 27% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Southampton in this match.
Result | ||
Southampton | Draw | Aston Villa |
46.34% | 26.67% | 27% |
Both teams to score 48.58% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.23% | 55.78% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.09% | 76.91% |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.96% | 24.04% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.69% | 58.31% |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.96% | 36.04% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.18% | 72.83% |
Score Analysis |
Southampton | Draw | Aston Villa |
1-0 @ 12.35% 2-1 @ 8.98% 2-0 @ 8.8% 3-1 @ 4.27% 3-0 @ 4.18% 3-2 @ 2.18% 4-1 @ 1.52% 4-0 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.57% Total : 46.34% | 1-1 @ 12.6% 0-0 @ 8.67% 2-2 @ 4.58% Other @ 0.81% Total : 26.66% | 0-1 @ 8.84% 1-2 @ 6.43% 0-2 @ 4.51% 1-3 @ 2.19% 2-3 @ 1.56% 0-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 1.93% Total : 27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |